Fulham – Hull odds
Fulham went into the match as heavy favourites against Hull.
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Fulham – Hull: closing odds analysis
- Fulham were favourites: the closing odds implied a 57% chance of a home win, 19% for Hull and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Fulham 1.72 at Casino House, the draw 4.16 at ComeOn, Hull 5.50 at VBET.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 98.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hull drifted from 4.80 at the opening to 5.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance of three or more goals and 53% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Fulham or Hull?
Fulham, by a distance: the closing odds put 37.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Fulham – Hull?
It depended on the outcome: Casino House was best on Fulham, ComeOn on the draw and VBET on Hull. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (98.0%) and Stake the least (89.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | FULHAM | DRAW | HULL | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.70 | 4.10 | 5.30 | 98.0% |
| VBET | 1.64 | 4.10 | 5.50 best price | 96.6% |
| ComeOn | 1.65 | 4.16 best price | 5.15 | 96.1% |
| GetLucky | 1.64 | 4.12 | 5.10 | 95.4% |
| Casinostuen | 1.64 | 4.12 | 5.10 | 95.4% |
| Betinia | 1.69 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 1.69 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 95.0% |
| Casinomoto | 1.69 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 1.69 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 1.72 best price | 4.00 | 4.50 | 94.9% |
| SpreadEx | 1.61 | 4.00 | 5.25 | 94.4% |
| Oddset | 1.64 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 94.4% |
| bwin | 1.63 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 94.0% |
| Bet25 | 1.64 | 4.10 | 4.70 | 93.8% |
| 888sport | 1.65 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 93.5% |
| Mr Green | 1.65 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 93.5% |
| Betmaster | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.90 | 93.2% |
| Stake | 1.60 | 3.75 | 4.45 | 89.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.72 | 4.16 | 5.50 | 99.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.60–1.72 · 7.5% | 3.75–4.16 · 10.9% | 4.45–5.50 · 23.6% | 89.6–98.0% |
How did the Fulham – Hull odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hull drifted from 4.80 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 5.50 at kick-off, a 14.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | FULHAM | DRAW | HULL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 1.68 | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| Sun 11 Oct | 1.75 | 4.70 | 4.85 |
| Sat 17 Oct (kick-off) | 1.72 | 4.45 | 5.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 53.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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