Everton – Chelsea odds
Chelsea went into the match as narrow favourites against Everton.
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Everton – Chelsea: closing odds analysis
- Chelsea were favourites: the closing odds implied a 41% chance of an away win, 33% for Everton and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Everton 3.14 at Casino House, the draw 3.80 at Casino House, Chelsea 2.40 at Betano.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Everton drifted from 2.95 at the opening to 3.14 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance of three or more goals and 60% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Everton or Chelsea?
Chelsea, but only just: the closing odds put 8.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Everton – Chelsea?
It depended on the outcome: Casino House was best on Everton, Casino House on the draw and Betano on Chelsea. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.8%) and Bet25 the least (92.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | EVERTON | DRAW | CHELSEA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.75 | 2.40 best price | 97.8% |
| ComeOn | 3.02 | 3.76 | 2.27 | 96.4% |
| Stake | 2.95 | 3.65 | 2.35 | 96.3% |
| VBET | 2.94 | 3.57 | 2.38 | 96.1% |
| SpreadEx | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.38 | 95.8% |
| GetLucky | 2.99 | 3.73 | 2.25 | 95.5% |
| Casinostuen | 2.99 | 3.73 | 2.25 | 95.5% |
| Casino House | 3.14 best price | 3.80 best price | 2.14 | 95.3% |
| Oddset | 2.90 | 3.55 | 2.36 | 95.2% |
| Betinia | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.33 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.33 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.33 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.33 | 95.1% |
| bwin | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.37 | 93.9% |
| 888sport | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 93.1% |
| Mr Green | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 93.1% |
| Betmaster | 2.85 | 3.35 | 2.35 | 93.0% |
| Bet25 | 2.80 | 3.65 | 2.23 | 92.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.14 | 3.80 | 2.40 | 100.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.80–3.14 · 12.1% | 3.35–3.80 · 13.4% | 2.14–2.40 · 12.1% | 92.6–97.8% |
How did the Everton – Chelsea odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Everton drifted from 2.95 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 3.14 at kick-off, a 6.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | EVERTON | DRAW | CHELSEA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 2.95 | 3.85 | 2.38 |
| Sun 11 Oct | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.30 |
| Sat 17 Oct (kick-off) | 3.14 | 3.80 | 2.40 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 59.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.