Chorley – Worcester City odds
Chorley went into the match as heavy favourites against Worcester City.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Chorley – Worcester City: closing odds analysis
- Chorley were favourites: the closing odds implied a 57% chance of a home win, 20% for Worcester City and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Chorley 1.62 at bwin, the draw 4.20 at VBET, Worcester City 5.00 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 4.10 at the opening to 4.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Chorley or Worcester City?
Chorley, by a distance: the closing odds put 37.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Chorley – Worcester City?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Chorley, VBET on the draw and bwin on Worcester City. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.2%) and Stake the least (89.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | CHORLEY | DRAW | WORCESTER CITY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 1.62 best price | 4.10 | 5.00 best price | 94.2% |
| VBET | 1.58 | 4.20 best price | 4.40 | 91.1% |
| Stake | 1.60 | 3.85 | 4.35 | 89.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.62 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 94.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.58–1.62 · 2.5% | 3.85–4.20 · 9.1% | 4.35–5.00 · 14.9% | 89.7–94.2% |
How did the Chorley – Worcester City odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 4.10 when odds opened on 17 Oct to 4.20 at kick-off, a 2.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CHORLEY | DRAW | WORCESTER CITY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 17 Oct (open) | 1.62 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Sat 17 Oct (kick-off) | 1.62 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 54.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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