Bury – Harrogate Town odds
Harrogate Town went into the match as clear favourites against Bury.
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2nd Half
Bury – Harrogate Town: closing odds analysis
- Harrogate Town were favourites: the closing odds implied a 50% chance of an away win, 26% for Bury and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Bury 3.60 at bwin, the draw 3.97 at VBET, Harrogate Town 1.90 at bwin.
- bwin had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Bury drifted from 3.50 at the opening to 3.60 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 61% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Bury or Harrogate Town?
Harrogate Town, clearly: the closing odds put 23.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Bury – Harrogate Town?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Bury, VBET on the draw and bwin on Harrogate Town. Across all three outcomes bwin paid out the most (94.3%) and Stake the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | BURY | DRAW | HARROGATE TOWN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bwin | 3.60 best price | 3.90 | 1.90 best price | 94.3% |
| VBET | 3.55 | 3.97 best price | 1.77 | 91.0% |
| Stake | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.87 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.60 | 3.97 | 1.90 | 94.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.40–3.60 · 5.9% | 3.70–3.97 · 7.3% | 1.77–1.90 · 7.3% | 91.0–94.3% |
How did the Bury – Harrogate Town odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Bury drifted from 3.50 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 3.60 at kick-off, a 2.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BURY | DRAW | HARROGATE TOWN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.93 |
| Sat 17 Oct | 3.50 | 3.90 | 2.12 |
| Sat 17 Oct (kick-off) | 3.60 | 3.97 | 1.90 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 60.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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