AaB – Vejle BK odds
Vejle BK went into the match as clear favourites against AaB.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
AaB – Vejle BK: closing odds analysis
- Vejle BK were favourites: the closing odds implied a 43% chance of an away win, 30% for AaB and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: AaB 3.45 at VBET, the draw 3.60 at Bet25, Vejle BK 2.24 at Bet25.
- Bet25 had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on AaB drifted from 3.23 at the opening to 3.45 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 59% chance of three or more goals and 63% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, AaB or Vejle BK?
Vejle BK, clearly: the closing odds put 13.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on AaB – Vejle BK?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on AaB, Bet25 on the draw and Bet25 on Vejle BK. Across all three outcomes Bet25 paid out the most (95.5%) and Mr Green the least (88.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | AAB | DRAW | VEJLE BK | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet25 | 3.10 | 3.60 best price | 2.24 best price | 95.5% |
| VBET | 3.45 best price | 3.37 | 2.17 | 95.5% |
| Betinia | 3.28 | 3.33 | 2.20 | 94.4% |
| Casinomoto | 3.28 | 3.33 | 2.20 | 94.4% |
| Betoro | 3.28 | 3.33 | 2.20 | 94.4% |
| CampoBet | 3.36 | 3.29 | 2.18 | 94.3% |
| Casino House | 3.25 | 3.33 | 2.20 | 94.1% |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.55 | 2.15 | 93.5% |
| ComeOn | 2.97 | 3.52 | 2.18 | 92.6% |
| GetLucky | 2.94 | 3.48 | 2.16 | 91.7% |
| Casinostuen | 2.94 | 3.48 | 2.16 | 91.7% |
| bwin | 2.95 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 90.8% |
| Stake | 2.90 | 3.45 | 2.14 | 90.7% |
| Betmaster | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.16 | 90.0% |
| 888sport | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 88.7% |
| Mr Green | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 88.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.45 | 3.60 | 2.24 | 98.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.90–3.45 · 19.0% | 3.29–3.60 · 9.4% | 2.00–2.24 · 12.0% | 88.7–95.5% |
How did the AaB – Vejle BK odds move before kick-off?
The best price on AaB drifted from 3.23 when odds opened on 14 Oct to 3.45 at kick-off, a 6.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | AAB | DRAW | VEJLE BK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 14 Oct (open) | 3.23 | 3.65 | 2.12 |
| Fri 16 Oct | 3.23 | 3.66 | 2.12 |
| Sat 17 Oct (kick-off) | 3.45 | 3.60 | 2.24 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 63.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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