HB Køge – AB Gladsaxe odds
HB Køge went into the match as narrow favourites against AB Gladsaxe.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HB Køge – AB Gladsaxe: closing odds analysis
- HB Køge were favourites: the closing odds implied a 41% chance of a home win, 34% for AB Gladsaxe and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: HB Køge 2.47 at VBET, the draw 3.81 at Betinia, AB Gladsaxe 2.80 at Bet25.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on AB Gladsaxe drifted from 2.48 at the opening to 2.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance of three or more goals and 63% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, HB Køge or AB Gladsaxe?
HB Køge, but only just: the closing odds put 6.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on HB Køge – AB Gladsaxe?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on HB Køge, Betinia on the draw and Bet25 on AB Gladsaxe. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.1%) and Betmaster the least (90.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | HB KØGE | DRAW | AB GLADSAXE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.47 best price | 3.53 | 2.75 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 2.32 | 3.81 best price | 2.73 | 94.4% |
| CampoBet | 2.32 | 3.81 best price | 2.73 | 94.4% |
| Casinomoto | 2.32 | 3.81 best price | 2.73 | 94.4% |
| Betoro | 2.32 | 3.81 best price | 2.73 | 94.4% |
| Casino House | 2.30 | 3.75 | 2.75 | 93.9% |
| Oddset | 2.30 | 3.65 | 2.80 best price | 93.8% |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.65 | 2.77 | 93.5% |
| Bet25 | 2.26 | 3.70 | 2.80 best price | 93.5% |
| ComeOn | 2.26 | 3.67 | 2.77 | 92.9% |
| GetLucky | 2.24 | 3.63 | 2.75 | 92.1% |
| Casinostuen | 2.24 | 3.63 | 2.75 | 92.1% |
| bwin | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.70 | 91.5% |
| Stake | 2.29 | 3.50 | 2.65 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 2.23 | 3.45 | 2.70 | 90.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.47 | 3.81 | 2.80 | 97.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.23–2.47 · 10.8% | 3.45–3.81 · 10.4% | 2.65–2.80 · 5.7% | 90.2–95.1% |
How did the HB Køge – AB Gladsaxe odds move before kick-off?
The best price on AB Gladsaxe drifted from 2.48 when odds opened on 15 Oct to 2.80 at kick-off, a 12.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HB KØGE | DRAW | AB GLADSAXE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 15 Oct (open) | 2.59 | 3.71 | 2.48 |
| Fri 16 Oct | 2.48 | 3.81 | 2.57 |
| Fri 16 Oct (kick-off) | 2.47 | 3.81 | 2.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 62.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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