Burnley β Wolves odds
Wolves went into the match as narrow favourites against Burnley.
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Burnley β Wolves: closing odds analysis
- Wolves were favourites: the closing odds implied a 42% chance of an away win, 31% for Burnley and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Burnley 3.10 at Betinia, the draw 3.66 at Betinia, Wolves 2.40 at bwin.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Wolves drifted from 2.16 at the opening to 2.40 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance of three or more goals and 56% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Burnley or Wolves?
Wolves, but only just: the closing odds put 10.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Burnley β Wolves?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Burnley, Betinia on the draw and bwin on Wolves. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.4%) and Betmaster the least (89.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | BURNLEY | DRAW | WOLVES | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 3.10 best price | 3.55 | 2.25 | 95.4% |
| Casino House | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.28 | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 3.10 best price | 3.66 best price | 2.20 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 3.10 best price | 3.66 best price | 2.20 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 3.10 best price | 3.66 best price | 2.20 | 95.2% |
| Oddset | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 94.9% |
| SpreadEx | 3.10 best price | 3.50 | 2.20 | 94.1% |
| Casinomoto | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 93.8% |
| ComeOn | 2.97 | 3.52 | 2.24 | 93.7% |
| bwin | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.40 best price | 93.6% |
| Stake | 2.80 | 3.35 | 2.40 best price | 93.3% |
| GetLucky | 2.94 | 3.48 | 2.22 | 92.8% |
| Casinostuen | 2.94 | 3.48 | 2.22 | 92.8% |
| Bet25 | 2.80 | 3.55 | 2.25 | 92.3% |
| VBET | 2.85 | 3.23 | 2.28 | 91.0% |
| 888sport | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 90.8% |
| Mr Green | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 90.8% |
| Betmaster | 2.85 | 3.25 | 2.19 | 89.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.10 | 3.66 | 2.40 | 98.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.80β3.10 Β· 10.7% | 3.23β3.66 Β· 13.3% | 2.15β2.40 Β· 11.6% | 89.7β95.4% |
How did the Burnley β Wolves odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Wolves drifted from 2.16 when odds opened on 13 Oct to 2.40 at kick-off, a 11.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BURNLEY | DRAW | WOLVES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 13 Oct (open) | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.16 |
| Thu 15 Oct | 2.95 | 3.60 | 2.55 |
| Fri 16 Oct (kick-off) | 3.10 | 3.66 | 2.40 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 55.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 Γ· decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 Γ· (1/oddsβ + 1/oddsβ + 1/oddsβ): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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