Union Saint-Gilloise – Real Sociedad odds
Union Saint-Gilloise and Real Sociedad went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Union Saint-Gilloise – Real Sociedad: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 38% for Union Saint-Gilloise, 26% for a draw and 36% for Real Sociedad.
- Best closing odds: Union Saint-Gilloise 2.55 at Betano, the draw 4.00 at bwin, Real Sociedad 2.70 at 888sport.
- Oddset had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 3.60 at the opening to 4.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance of three or more goals and 62% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Union Saint-Gilloise or Real Sociedad?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 1.4 percentage points between Union Saint-Gilloise and Real Sociedad.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Union Saint-Gilloise – Real Sociedad?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Union Saint-Gilloise, bwin on the draw and 888sport on Real Sociedad. Across all three outcomes Oddset paid out the most (95.6%) and bwin the least (89.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | UNION SAINT-GILLOISE | DRAW | REAL SOCIEDAD | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddset | 2.53 | 3.75 | 2.60 | 95.6% |
| Betano | 2.55 best price | 3.70 | 2.60 | 95.5% |
| ComeOn | 2.53 | 3.71 | 2.58 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 2.54 | 3.60 | 2.57 | 94.3% |
| Casino House | 2.54 | 3.50 | 2.62 | 94.2% |
| GetLucky | 2.50 | 3.68 | 2.55 | 94.0% |
| Casinostuen | 2.50 | 3.68 | 2.55 | 94.0% |
| Casinomoto | 2.36 | 3.75 | 2.66 | 93.8% |
| Betinia | 2.50 | 3.66 | 2.54 | 93.7% |
| CampoBet | 2.50 | 3.66 | 2.54 | 93.7% |
| 888sport | 2.37 | 3.50 | 2.70 best price | 92.8% |
| Mr Green | 2.37 | 3.50 | 2.70 best price | 92.8% |
| Expekt | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.55 | 92.8% |
| VBET | 2.40 | 3.63 | 2.58 | 92.6% |
| Bet25 | 2.39 | 3.75 | 2.42 | 91.0% |
| Betmaster | 2.42 | 3.40 | 2.48 | 90.0% |
| bwin | 2.35 | 4.00 best price | 2.25 | 89.3% |
| Stake | 2.50 | 3.75 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | 2.52 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 2.55 | 4.00 | 2.70 | 98.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.35–2.55 · 8.5% | 2.52–4.00 · 58.7% | 2.25–2.70 · 20.0% | 89.3–95.6% |
How did the Union Saint-Gilloise – Real Sociedad odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 3.60 when odds opened on 10 Oct to 4.00 at kick-off, a 11.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | UNION SAINT-GILLOISE | DRAW | REAL SOCIEDAD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10 Oct (open) | 2.40 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Mon 12 Oct | 2.45 | 3.64 | 2.95 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 2.55 | 4.00 | 2.70 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 62.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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