Twente – Thun odds
Twente went into the match as heavy favourites against Thun.
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Twente – Thun: closing odds analysis
- Twente were favourites: the closing odds implied a 81% chance of a home win, 8% for Thun and 12% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Twente 1.20 at Casinomoto, the draw 10.00 at Stake, Thun 15.00 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 7.40 at the opening to 9.60 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Twente or Thun?
Twente, by a distance: the closing odds put 72.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Twente – Thun?
It depended on the outcome: Casinomoto was best on Twente, Stake on the draw and Stake on Thun. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (95.8%) and Betmaster the least (91.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | TWENTE | DRAW | THUN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.14 | 10.00 best price | 15.00 best price | 95.8% |
| VBET | 1.15 | 9.10 | 14.00 | 95.2% |
| Betano | 1.18 | 8.00 | 12.50 | 95.0% |
| ComeOn | 1.15 | 8.42 | 12.63 | 93.7% |
| 888sport | 1.16 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 93.4% |
| Betoro | 1.16 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 93.4% |
| Casino House | 1.16 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 93.4% |
| Mr Green | 1.16 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 93.4% |
| Bet25 | 1.16 | 8.80 | 10.00 | 93.0% |
| GetLucky | 1.14 | 8.34 | 12.51 | 92.8% |
| Casinostuen | 1.14 | 8.34 | 12.51 | 92.8% |
| bwin | 1.15 | 8.25 | 11.50 | 92.8% |
| Casinomoto | 1.20 best price | 6.50 | 11.00 | 92.8% |
| Betinia | 1.16 | 7.50 | 11.00 | 92.1% |
| CampoBet | 1.16 | 7.50 | 11.00 | 92.1% |
| Betmaster | 1.15 | 7.80 | 10.00 | 91.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.20 | 10.00 | 15.00 | 100.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.14–1.20 · 5.3% | 6.50–10.00 · 53.8% | 10.00–15.00 · 50.0% | 91.1–95.8% |
How did the Twente – Thun odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 7.40 when odds opened on 8 Sep to 9.60 at kick-off, a 29.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | TWENTE | DRAW | THUN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 8 Sep (open) | 1.29 | 7.40 | 12.00 |
| Sun 27 Sep | 1.29 | 7.40 | 12.00 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 1.20 | 9.60 | 14.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 55.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.