Sint-Truiden – Iberia 1999 odds
Sint-Truiden went into the match as heavy favourites against Iberia 1999.
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Sint-Truiden – Iberia 1999: closing odds analysis
- Sint-Truiden were favourites: the closing odds implied a 77% chance of a home win, 8% for Iberia 1999 and 15% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Sint-Truiden 1.27 at Casinomoto, the draw 7.40 at Stake, Iberia 1999 13.00 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Iberia 1999 drifted from 8.40 at the opening to 13.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 48% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Sint-Truiden or Iberia 1999?
Sint-Truiden, by a distance: the closing odds put 68.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Sint-Truiden – Iberia 1999?
It depended on the outcome: Casinomoto was best on Sint-Truiden, Stake on the draw and Stake on Iberia 1999. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.3%) and Betmaster the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | SINT-TRUIDEN | DRAW | IBERIA 1999 | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.21 | 7.40 best price | 13.00 best price | 96.3% |
| Betano | 1.23 | 6.60 | 12.00 | 95.4% |
| Bet25 | 1.21 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 94.3% |
| Betoro | 1.22 | 6.33 | 11.00 | 93.6% |
| Casino House | 1.22 | 6.33 | 11.00 | 93.6% |
| VBET | 1.22 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 92.8% |
| 888sport | 1.22 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 92.8% |
| Mr Green | 1.22 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 92.8% |
| ComeOn | 1.19 | 6.54 | 11.89 | 92.8% |
| Casinomoto | 1.27 best price | 5.50 | 9.00 | 92.6% |
| Betinia | 1.20 | 6.33 | 11.00 | 92.4% |
| CampoBet | 1.20 | 6.33 | 11.00 | 92.4% |
| bwin | 1.21 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 92.2% |
| GetLucky | 1.18 | 6.48 | 11.78 | 92.0% |
| Casinostuen | 1.18 | 6.48 | 11.78 | 92.0% |
| Betmaster | 1.19 | 6.20 | 10.00 | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.27 | 7.40 | 13.00 | 100.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.18–1.27 · 7.6% | 5.50–7.40 · 34.5% | 9.00–13.00 · 44.4% | 90.8–96.3% |
How did the Sint-Truiden – Iberia 1999 odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Iberia 1999 drifted from 8.40 when odds opened on 8 Sep to 13.00 at kick-off, a 54.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SINT-TRUIDEN | DRAW | IBERIA 1999 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 8 Sep (open) | 1.43 | 5.40 | 8.40 |
| Sun 27 Sep | 1.52 | 5.00 | 7.40 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 1.27 | 7.60 | 13.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 48.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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