Riga FC – Kairat Almaty odds
Riga FC went into the match as heavy favourites against Kairat Almaty.
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Riga FC – Kairat Almaty: closing odds analysis
- Riga FC were favourites: the closing odds implied a 49% chance of a home win, 23% for Kairat Almaty and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Riga FC 1.98 at bwin, the draw 3.65 at Stake, Kairat Almaty 4.30 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 3.55 at the opening to 3.65 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 43% chance of three or more goals and 50% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Riga FC or Kairat Almaty?
Riga FC, by a distance: the closing odds put 25.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Riga FC – Kairat Almaty?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Riga FC, Stake on the draw and Stake on Kairat Almaty. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.3%) and Betmaster the least (90.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | RIGA FC | DRAW | KAIRAT ALMATY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.88 | 3.65 best price | 4.30 best price | 96.3% |
| VBET | 1.90 | 3.45 | 4.30 best price | 95.4% |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.95 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 1.92 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 93.9% |
| Casino House | 1.92 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 93.9% |
| Bet25 | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.85 | 93.5% |
| ComeOn | 1.90 | 3.37 | 3.91 | 92.7% |
| 888sport | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 92.6% |
| Mr Green | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 92.6% |
| Betinia | 1.88 | 3.33 | 4.00 | 92.4% |
| CampoBet | 1.88 | 3.33 | 4.00 | 92.4% |
| Casinomoto | 1.88 | 3.33 | 4.00 | 92.4% |
| GetLucky | 1.88 | 3.34 | 3.88 | 91.8% |
| Casinostuen | 1.88 | 3.34 | 3.88 | 91.8% |
| bwin | 1.98 best price | 2.87 | 4.00 | 90.6% |
| Betmaster | 1.89 | 3.20 | 3.75 | 90.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.98 | 3.65 | 4.30 | 98.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.88–1.98 · 5.3% | 2.87–3.65 · 27.2% | 3.75–4.30 · 14.7% | 90.2–96.3% |
How did the Riga FC – Kairat Almaty odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 3.55 when odds opened on 8 Sep to 3.65 at kick-off, a 2.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | RIGA FC | DRAW | KAIRAT ALMATY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 8 Sep (open) | 1.98 | 3.55 | 4.20 |
| Sun 27 Sep | 2.00 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 1.98 | 3.65 | 4.30 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Fewer than three goals was the likelier outcome in the closing odds. Both teams to score was priced at 50.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.