Panathinaikos – Borac Banja Luka odds
Panathinaikos went into the match as heavy favourites against Borac Banja Luka.
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Panathinaikos – Borac Banja Luka: closing odds analysis
- Panathinaikos were favourites: the closing odds implied a 77% chance of a home win, 8% for Borac Banja Luka and 15% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Panathinaikos 1.30 at bwin, the draw 7.40 at Stake, Borac Banja Luka 14.00 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 6.60 at the opening to 10.25 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance of three or more goals and 43% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Panathinaikos or Borac Banja Luka?
Panathinaikos, by a distance: the closing odds put 68.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Panathinaikos – Borac Banja Luka?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Panathinaikos, Stake on the draw and Stake on Borac Banja Luka. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.2%) and Betmaster the least (90.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | PANATHINAIKOS | DRAW | BORAC BANJA LUKA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.20 | 7.40 best price | 14.00 best price | 96.2% |
| Betano | 1.24 | 6.30 | 11.75 | 95.2% |
| VBET | 1.23 | 6.70 | 11.00 | 95.0% |
| Bet25 | 1.22 | 6.80 | 11.00 | 94.6% |
| Betoro | 1.20 | 6.33 | 13.00 | 93.6% |
| Casino House | 1.20 | 6.33 | 13.00 | 93.6% |
| ComeOn | 1.20 | 6.54 | 11.89 | 93.4% |
| 888sport | 1.22 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 92.8% |
| Mr Green | 1.22 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 92.8% |
| GetLucky | 1.19 | 6.48 | 11.78 | 92.6% |
| Casinostuen | 1.19 | 6.48 | 11.78 | 92.6% |
| Betinia | 1.20 | 6.33 | 11.00 | 92.4% |
| CampoBet | 1.20 | 6.33 | 11.00 | 92.4% |
| bwin | 1.30 best price | 4.75 | 9.75 | 92.4% |
| Casinomoto | 1.18 | 6.33 | 13.00 | 92.4% |
| Betmaster | 1.20 | 6.00 | 9.80 | 90.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.30 | 7.40 | 14.00 | 102.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.18–1.30 · 10.2% | 4.75–7.40 · 55.8% | 9.75–14.00 · 43.6% | 90.7–96.2% |
How did the Panathinaikos – Borac Banja Luka odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 6.60 when odds opened on 8 Sep to 10.25 at kick-off, a 55.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | PANATHINAIKOS | DRAW | BORAC BANJA LUKA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 8 Sep (open) | 1.32 | 6.60 | 12.00 |
| Sun 27 Sep | 1.31 | 6.20 | 10.00 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 1.30 | 10.25 | 14.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 43.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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