Mjallby – Inter Club d'Escaldes odds
Mjallby went into the match as heavy favourites against Inter Club d'Escaldes.
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Mjallby – Inter Club d'Escaldes: closing odds analysis
- Mjallby were favourites: the closing odds implied a 66% chance of a home win, 13% for Inter Club d'Escaldes and 20% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Mjallby 1.57 at bwin, the draw 5.40 at Stake, Inter Club d'Escaldes 9.00 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 6.40 at the opening to 8.40 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 48% chance of three or more goals and 47% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Mjallby or Inter Club d'Escaldes?
Mjallby, by a distance: the closing odds put 53.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Mjallby – Inter Club d'Escaldes?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Mjallby, Stake on the draw and Stake on Inter Club d'Escaldes. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.5%) and Mr Green the least (89.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | MJALLBY | DRAW | INTER CLUB D'ESCALDES | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.60 | 7.40 | 95.5% |
| VBET | 1.39 | 4.80 | 8.10 | 95.1% |
| Bet25 | 1.42 | 4.80 | 6.80 | 94.4% |
| Stake | 1.31 | 5.40 best price | 9.00 best price | 94.4% |
| Casinomoto | 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.00 | 93.5% |
| Betoro | 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.00 | 93.5% |
| Casino House | 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.00 | 93.5% |
| ComeOn | 1.40 | 4.56 | 7.03 | 93.0% |
| Betinia | 1.41 | 4.33 | 7.00 | 92.3% |
| CampoBet | 1.41 | 4.33 | 7.00 | 92.3% |
| bwin | 1.57 best price | 3.50 | 6.00 | 91.8% |
| GetLucky | 1.38 | 4.52 | 6.97 | 91.8% |
| Casinostuen | 1.38 | 4.52 | 6.97 | 91.8% |
| Betmaster | 1.40 | 4.30 | 6.40 | 90.7% |
| 888sport | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 89.9% |
| Mr Green | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 89.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.57 | 5.40 | 9.00 | 107.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.30–1.57 · 20.8% | 3.50–5.40 · 54.3% | 6.00–9.00 · 50.0% | 89.9–95.5% |
How did the Mjallby – Inter Club d'Escaldes odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 6.40 when odds opened on 8 Sep to 8.40 at kick-off, a 31.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MJALLBY | DRAW | INTER CLUB D'ESCALDES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 8 Sep (open) | 1.31 | 6.40 | 12.00 |
| Sun 27 Sep | 1.32 | 5.80 | 10.00 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 1.57 | 8.40 | 9.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 46.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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