Marseille – Olympiacos odds
Marseille and Olympiacos went into the match almost level in the odds.
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2nd Half
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Marseille – Olympiacos: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 37% for Marseille, 28% for a draw and 35% for Olympiacos.
- Best closing odds: Marseille 2.95 at Stake, the draw 3.60 at Betano, Olympiacos 3.00 at 888sport.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Marseille drifted from 2.25 at the opening to 2.95 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance of three or more goals and 56% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Marseille or Olympiacos?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 1.7 percentage points between Marseille and Olympiacos.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Marseille – Olympiacos?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Marseille, Betano on the draw and 888sport on Olympiacos. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.3%) and Betmaster the least (89.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | MARSEILLE | DRAW | OLYMPIACOS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.95 best price | 3.50 | 2.42 | 96.3% |
| Oddset | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 95.3% |
| Betano | 2.55 | 3.60 best price | 2.62 | 95.1% |
| ComeOn | 2.67 | 3.37 | 2.58 | 94.4% |
| bwin | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.45 | 94.4% |
| Betoro | 2.54 | 3.33 | 2.71 | 94.1% |
| Casino House | 2.54 | 3.33 | 2.71 | 94.1% |
| Betinia | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.71 | 94.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.71 | 94.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 93.9% |
| SpreadEx | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 93.7% |
| GetLucky | 2.65 | 3.34 | 2.55 | 93.6% |
| Casinostuen | 2.65 | 3.34 | 2.55 | 93.6% |
| Expekt | 2.60 | 3.35 | 2.55 | 93.0% |
| VBET | 2.32 | 3.33 | 2.87 | 92.6% |
| 888sport | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 best price | 92.4% |
| Mr Green | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 best price | 92.4% |
| Bet25 | 2.55 | 3.45 | 2.50 | 92.4% |
| Betmaster | 2.44 | 3.15 | 2.60 | 89.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.95 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 105.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.20–2.95 · 34.1% | 3.15–3.60 · 14.3% | 2.42–3.00 · 24.0% | 89.9–96.3% |
How did the Marseille – Olympiacos odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Marseille drifted from 2.25 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 2.95 at kick-off, a 31.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MARSEILLE | DRAW | OLYMPIACOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 2.25 | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| Sat 10 Oct | 2.25 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 2.95 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 55.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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