Lyon – Crystal Palace odds
Lyon and Crystal Palace went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Lyon – Crystal Palace: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 36% for Lyon, 26% for a draw and 38% for Crystal Palace.
- Best closing odds: Lyon 2.87 at bwin, the draw 3.75 at Stake, Crystal Palace 2.65 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lyon drifted from 2.30 at the opening to 2.87 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance of three or more goals and 62% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lyon or Crystal Palace?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 2.6 percentage points between Lyon and Crystal Palace.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lyon – Crystal Palace?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Lyon, Stake on the draw and VBET on Crystal Palace. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.1%) and bwin the least (89.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | LYON | DRAW | CRYSTAL PALACE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.70 | 3.75 best price | 2.48 | 96.1% |
| Oddset | 2.70 | 3.70 | 2.48 | 95.8% |
| Betano | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.55 | 95.4% |
| VBET | 2.57 | 3.53 | 2.65 best price | 95.3% |
| SpreadEx | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.45 | 94.7% |
| ComeOn | 2.67 | 3.62 | 2.46 | 94.6% |
| Casino House | 2.45 | 3.75 best price | 2.60 | 94.4% |
| Casinomoto | 2.62 | 3.50 | 2.54 | 94.2% |
| Betoro | 2.62 | 3.50 | 2.54 | 94.2% |
| Betinia | 2.57 | 3.60 | 2.50 | 93.7% |
| CampoBet | 2.57 | 3.60 | 2.50 | 93.7% |
| GetLucky | 2.65 | 3.58 | 2.43 | 93.6% |
| Casinostuen | 2.65 | 3.58 | 2.43 | 93.6% |
| Betmaster | 2.65 | 3.40 | 2.47 | 92.9% |
| Expekt | 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.40 | 92.7% |
| 888sport | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.45 | 92.3% |
| Mr Green | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.45 | 92.3% |
| Bet25 | 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.33 | 91.0% |
| bwin | 2.87 best price | 3.70 | 2.00 | 89.4% |
| Marathonbet | — | 2.55 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 2.87 | 3.75 | 2.65 | 100.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.45–2.87 · 17.1% | 2.55–3.75 · 47.1% | 2.00–2.65 · 32.5% | 89.4–96.1% |
How did the Lyon – Crystal Palace odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lyon drifted from 2.30 when odds opened on 10 Oct to 2.87 at kick-off, a 24.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LYON | DRAW | CRYSTAL PALACE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10 Oct (open) | 2.30 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Tue 13 Oct | 2.30 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 2.87 | 3.75 | 2.65 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 62.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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