Lech Poznan – Bayer Leverkusen odds
Bayer Leverkusen went into the match as heavy favourites against Lech Poznan.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Corners
Cards
Lech Poznan – Bayer Leverkusen: closing odds analysis
- Bayer Leverkusen were favourites: the closing odds implied a 62% chance of an away win, 18% for Lech Poznan and 19% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lech Poznan 6.40 at Stake, the draw 5.40 at Stake, Bayer Leverkusen 3.10 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Bayer Leverkusen drifted from 1.80 at the opening to 3.10 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 62% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lech Poznan or Bayer Leverkusen?
Bayer Leverkusen, by a distance: the closing odds put 44.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lech Poznan – Bayer Leverkusen?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Lech Poznan, Stake on the draw and bwin on Bayer Leverkusen. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.5%) and bwin the least (88.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | LECH POZNAN | DRAW | BAYER LEVERKUSEN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 6.40 best price | 5.40 best price | 1.44 | 96.5% |
| VBET | 5.70 | 5.00 | 1.48 | 95.1% |
| Betano | 6.10 | 4.75 | 1.47 | 94.8% |
| ComeOn | 5.55 | 4.95 | 1.48 | 94.5% |
| Casinomoto | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.44 | 94.2% |
| Betoro | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.44 | 94.2% |
| Casino House | 5.66 | 4.33 | 1.52 | 93.9% |
| Betinia | 6.33 | 5.00 | 1.41 | 93.7% |
| CampoBet | 6.33 | 5.00 | 1.41 | 93.7% |
| GetLucky | 5.50 | 4.91 | 1.46 | 93.4% |
| Casinostuen | 5.50 | 4.91 | 1.46 | 93.4% |
| Expekt | 5.40 | 4.90 | 1.45 | 92.7% |
| 888sport | 5.75 | 4.60 | 1.44 | 92.1% |
| Mr Green | 5.75 | 4.60 | 1.44 | 92.1% |
| Bet25 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 1.45 | 91.8% |
| bwin | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.10 best price | 88.5% |
| Marathonbet | 5.35 | 1.46 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 6.40 | 5.40 | 3.10 | 150.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.85–6.40 · 245.9% | 1.46–5.40 · 269.9% | 1.41–3.10 · 119.9% | 88.5–96.5% |
How did the Lech Poznan – Bayer Leverkusen odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Bayer Leverkusen drifted from 1.80 when odds opened on 10 Oct to 3.10 at kick-off, a 72.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LECH POZNAN | DRAW | BAYER LEVERKUSEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10 Oct (open) | 4.50 | 4.30 | 1.80 |
| Tue 13 Oct | 4.70 | 4.35 | 1.80 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 6.40 | 5.40 | 3.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 61.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More Europa League odds
- Besiktas – Hapoel Be'er ShevaThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Celta Vigo – BournemouthThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Dinamo Zagreb – Bayer LeverkusenThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Marseille – Levski SofiaThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Olympiacos – AC MilanThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Red Bull Salzburg – Ararat-ArmeniaThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Union Saint-Gilloise – Lech PoznanThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Viktoria Plzeň – BenficaThu 26 Nov · 18:45
- Crystal Palace – Real SociedadThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Ferencváros – CeljeThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Hoffenheim – Sturm GrazThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Juventus – Omonia NicosiaThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Lyon – LillestrømThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- NEC Nijmegen – RennesThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- OFI Crete – AnderlechtThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Sparta Prague – AZ AlkmaarThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Sunderland – Jagiellonia BiałystokThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Torreense – CelticThu 26 Nov · 21:00
- Europa League odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.