Jagiellonia Białystok – Ararat-Armenia odds
Jagiellonia Białystok went into the match as heavy favourites against Ararat-Armenia.
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Jagiellonia Białystok – Ararat-Armenia: closing odds analysis
- Jagiellonia Białystok were favourites: the closing odds implied a 66% chance of a home win, 14% for Ararat-Armenia and 20% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Jagiellonia Białystok 1.46 at bwin, the draw 5.00 at Casinomoto, Ararat-Armenia 7.10 at VBET.
- Oddset had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Jagiellonia Białystok shortened from 1.55 at the opening to 1.46 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 59% chance of three or more goals and 52% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Jagiellonia Białystok or Ararat-Armenia?
Jagiellonia Białystok, by a distance: the closing odds put 52.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Jagiellonia Białystok – Ararat-Armenia?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Jagiellonia Białystok, Casinomoto on the draw and VBET on Ararat-Armenia. Across all three outcomes Oddset paid out the most (95.5%) and Betmaster the least (90.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | JAGIELLONIA BIAŁYSTOK | DRAW | ARARAT-ARMENIA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddset | 1.43 | 5.00 best price | 6.75 | 95.5% |
| bwin | 1.46 best price | 4.75 | 6.50 | 95.3% |
| Betano | 1.45 | 4.70 | 6.80 | 95.3% |
| VBET | 1.40 | 4.90 | 7.10 best price | 94.4% |
| Stake | 1.40 | 4.90 | 7.00 | 94.2% |
| Betoro | 1.42 | 4.75 | 6.66 | 93.9% |
| Casino House | 1.42 | 4.75 | 6.66 | 93.9% |
| Casinomoto | 1.38 | 5.00 best price | 7.00 | 93.7% |
| Betinia | 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.00 | 93.5% |
| CampoBet | 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.00 | 93.5% |
| ComeOn | 1.41 | 4.76 | 6.64 | 93.5% |
| Expekt | 1.42 | 4.70 | 6.50 | 93.4% |
| Bet25 | 1.42 | 4.90 | 6.00 | 93.0% |
| SpreadEx | 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.50 | 92.7% |
| GetLucky | 1.39 | 4.71 | 6.58 | 92.3% |
| Casinostuen | 1.39 | 4.71 | 6.58 | 92.3% |
| 888sport | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.50 | 91.7% |
| Mr Green | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.50 | 91.7% |
| Betmaster | 1.41 | 4.40 | 6.00 | 90.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.46 | 5.00 | 7.10 | 97.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.38–1.46 · 5.8% | 4.40–5.00 · 13.6% | 6.00–7.10 · 18.3% | 90.6–95.5% |
How did the Jagiellonia Białystok – Ararat-Armenia odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Jagiellonia Białystok shortened from 1.55 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 1.46 at kick-off, a 5.8% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | JAGIELLONIA BIAŁYSTOK | DRAW | ARARAT-ARMENIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 1.55 | 4.90 | 7.00 |
| Sat 10 Oct | 1.55 | 4.90 | 7.00 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 1.46 | 5.00 | 7.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 52.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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