Hajduk Split – Ajax odds
Ajax went into the match as heavy favourites against Hajduk Split.
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Hajduk Split – Ajax: closing odds analysis
- Ajax were favourites: the closing odds implied a 55% chance of an away win, 22% for Hajduk Split and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Hajduk Split 4.75 at VBET, the draw 4.40 at VBET, Ajax 1.83 at bwin.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hajduk Split drifted from 3.98 at the opening to 4.75 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 55% chance of three or more goals and 60% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Hajduk Split or Ajax?
Ajax, by a distance: the closing odds put 33.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Hajduk Split – Ajax?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Hajduk Split, VBET on the draw and bwin on Ajax. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.2%) and Betmaster the least (90.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | HAJDUK SPLIT | DRAW | AJAX | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 4.30 | 4.30 | 1.74 | 96.2% |
| ComeOn | 4.26 | 4.26 | 1.73 | 95.5% |
| VBET | 4.75 best price | 4.40 best price | 1.64 | 95.5% |
| Betano | 4.25 | 4.15 | 1.75 | 95.4% |
| GetLucky | 4.22 | 4.22 | 1.72 | 94.8% |
| Casinostuen | 4.22 | 4.22 | 1.72 | 94.8% |
| Casinomoto | 4.50 | 4.25 | 1.64 | 93.7% |
| Betoro | 4.50 | 4.25 | 1.64 | 93.7% |
| Casino House | 4.50 | 4.25 | 1.64 | 93.7% |
| Betinia | 4.33 | 4.20 | 1.63 | 92.4% |
| CampoBet | 4.33 | 4.20 | 1.63 | 92.4% |
| Bet25 | 3.85 | 4.30 | 1.68 | 92.0% |
| 888sport | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.70 | 91.4% |
| Mr Green | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.70 | 91.4% |
| bwin | 3.90 | 3.40 | 1.83 best price | 91.2% |
| Betmaster | 3.90 | 3.85 | 1.69 | 90.3% |
| Marathonbet | — | 4.15 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 4.75 | 4.40 | 1.83 | 101.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.85–4.75 · 23.4% | 3.40–4.40 · 29.4% | 1.63–1.83 · 12.3% | 90.3–96.2% |
How did the Hajduk Split – Ajax odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hajduk Split drifted from 3.98 when odds opened on 8 Sep to 4.75 at kick-off, a 19.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HAJDUK SPLIT | DRAW | AJAX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 8 Sep (open) | 3.98 | 3.95 | 1.93 |
| Sun 27 Sep | 5.80 | 4.80 | 1.63 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 4.75 | 4.40 | 1.83 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 60.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.