Freiburg – Jablonec odds
Freiburg went into the match as heavy favourites against Jablonec.
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Freiburg – Jablonec: closing odds analysis
- Freiburg were favourites: the closing odds implied a 75% chance of a home win, 9% for Jablonec and 16% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Freiburg 1.33 at Casinomoto, the draw 6.70 at VBET, Jablonec 13.50 at Betano.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 5.60 at the opening to 13.25 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance of three or more goals and 41% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Freiburg or Jablonec?
Freiburg, by a distance: the closing odds put 65.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Freiburg – Jablonec?
It depended on the outcome: Casinomoto was best on Freiburg, VBET on the draw and Betano on Jablonec. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.6%) and Mr Green the least (89.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | FREIBURG | DRAW | JABLONEC | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.24 | 6.60 | 13.00 | 96.6% |
| Betano | 1.25 | 5.70 | 13.50 best price | 95.3% |
| Bet25 | 1.25 | 6.20 | 11.00 | 95.0% |
| VBET | 1.21 | 6.70 best price | 12.00 | 94.4% |
| Betoro | 1.25 | 5.75 | 11.00 | 93.9% |
| Casino House | 1.25 | 5.75 | 11.00 | 93.9% |
| bwin | 1.24 | 5.50 | 11.00 | 92.7% |
| Betinia | 1.23 | 5.66 | 11.00 | 92.5% |
| CampoBet | 1.23 | 5.66 | 11.00 | 92.5% |
| ComeOn | 1.25 | 5.55 | 9.91 | 92.5% |
| Casinomoto | 1.33 best price | 5.00 | 7.50 | 92.1% |
| GetLucky | 1.24 | 5.50 | 9.82 | 91.7% |
| Casinostuen | 1.24 | 5.50 | 9.82 | 91.7% |
| 888sport | 1.25 | 5.50 | 7.50 | 89.7% |
| Mr Green | 1.25 | 5.50 | 7.50 | 89.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.33 | 6.70 | 13.50 | 102.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.21–1.33 · 9.9% | 5.00–6.70 · 34.0% | 7.50–13.50 · 80.0% | 89.7–96.6% |
How did the Freiburg – Jablonec odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 5.60 when odds opened on 8 Sep to 13.25 at kick-off, a 136.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | FREIBURG | DRAW | JABLONEC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 8 Sep (open) | 1.42 | 5.60 | 8.50 |
| Sun 27 Sep | 1.40 | 5.60 | 8.80 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 1.33 | 13.25 | 13.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 41.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.