Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň odds
Ferencváros went into the match as clear favourites against Viktoria Plzeň.
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Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň: closing odds analysis
- Ferencváros were favourites: the closing odds implied a 50% chance of a home win, 25% for Viktoria Plzeň and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Ferencváros 1.92 at Betinia, the draw 4.10 at Stake, Viktoria Plzeň 4.20 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Viktoria Plzeň drifted from 3.70 at the opening to 4.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance of three or more goals and 59% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Ferencváros or Viktoria Plzeň?
Ferencváros, clearly: the closing odds put 24.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Ferencváros, Stake on the draw and Stake on Viktoria Plzeň. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.4%) and Betmaster the least (90.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | FERENCVÁROS | DRAW | VIKTORIA PLZEŇ | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.90 | 3.85 | 95.4% |
| bwin | 1.82 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 94.7% |
| Betoro | 1.92 best price | 3.66 | 3.75 | 94.3% |
| Casino House | 1.92 best price | 3.66 | 3.75 | 94.3% |
| Casinomoto | 1.92 best price | 4.00 | 3.40 | 93.9% |
| Betinia | 1.92 best price | 3.66 | 3.66 | 93.7% |
| CampoBet | 1.92 best price | 3.66 | 3.66 | 93.7% |
| ComeOn | 1.80 | 3.81 | 3.96 | 93.4% |
| GetLucky | 1.79 | 3.78 | 3.93 | 92.8% |
| Casinostuen | 1.79 | 3.78 | 3.93 | 92.8% |
| VBET | 1.89 | 3.68 | 3.59 | 92.6% |
| 888sport | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 92.4% |
| Mr Green | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 92.4% |
| Bet25 | 1.78 | 3.95 | 3.70 | 92.1% |
| Betmaster | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.55 | 90.3% |
| Stake | — | 4.10 best price | 4.20 best price | — |
| BEST PRICE | 1.92 | 4.10 | 4.20 | 99.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.78–1.92 · 7.9% | 3.50–4.10 · 17.1% | 3.40–4.20 · 23.5% | 90.3–95.4% |
How did the Ferencváros – Viktoria Plzeň odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Viktoria Plzeň drifted from 3.70 when odds opened on 13 Oct to 4.20 at kick-off, a 13.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | FERENCVÁROS | DRAW | VIKTORIA PLZEŇ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 13 Oct (open) | 2.10 | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| Wed 14 Oct | 2.45 | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 1.92 | 4.10 | 4.20 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 58.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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