Dinamo Zagreb – Anderlecht odds
Dinamo Zagreb went into the match as heavy favourites against Anderlecht.
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Dinamo Zagreb – Anderlecht: closing odds analysis
- Dinamo Zagreb were favourites: the closing odds implied a 51% chance of a home win, 24% for Anderlecht and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Dinamo Zagreb 1.96 at Casinomoto, the draw 3.95 at Stake, Anderlecht 4.25 at Betoro.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 3.65 at the opening to 3.90 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 55% chance of three or more goals and 57% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Dinamo Zagreb or Anderlecht?
Dinamo Zagreb, by a distance: the closing odds put 26.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Dinamo Zagreb – Anderlecht?
It depended on the outcome: Casinomoto was best on Dinamo Zagreb, Stake on the draw and Betoro on Anderlecht. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.1%) and Betmaster the least (90.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | DINAMO ZAGREB | DRAW | ANDERLECHT | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.82 | 3.95 best price | 4.20 | 96.1% |
| Oddset | 1.88 | 3.80 | 3.95 | 95.4% |
| SpreadEx | 1.87 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 95.1% |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.70 | 3.80 | 95.1% |
| bwin | 1.83 | 3.80 | 4.10 | 94.9% |
| ComeOn | 1.86 | 3.71 | 3.91 | 94.1% |
| Betoro | 1.77 | 3.80 | 4.25 best price | 94.0% |
| Casino House | 1.77 | 3.80 | 4.25 best price | 94.0% |
| Casinomoto | 1.96 best price | 3.60 | 3.60 | 93.8% |
| Betinia | 1.77 | 3.80 | 4.20 | 93.8% |
| CampoBet | 1.77 | 3.80 | 4.20 | 93.8% |
| GetLucky | 1.84 | 3.68 | 3.88 | 93.2% |
| Casinostuen | 1.84 | 3.68 | 3.88 | 93.2% |
| Expekt | 1.83 | 3.70 | 3.80 | 92.6% |
| VBET | 1.93 | 3.56 | 3.56 | 92.6% |
| Bet25 | 1.86 | 3.75 | 3.55 | 92.1% |
| 888sport | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 91.8% |
| Mr Green | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 91.8% |
| Betmaster | 1.86 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 90.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.68 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 1.96 | 3.95 | 4.25 | 100.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.77–1.96 · 10.7% | 3.40–3.95 · 16.2% | 3.55–4.25 · 19.7% | 90.1–96.1% |
How did the Dinamo Zagreb – Anderlecht odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 3.65 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 3.90 at kick-off, a 6.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | DINAMO ZAGREB | DRAW | ANDERLECHT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 2.10 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
| Sat 10 Oct | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 1.96 | 3.90 | 4.25 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 57.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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