Celta Vigo – Juventus odds
Juventus went into the match as clear favourites against Celta Vigo.
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Celta Vigo – Juventus: closing odds analysis
- Juventus were favourites: the closing odds implied a 43% chance of an away win, 28% for Celta Vigo and 30% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Celta Vigo 3.55 at VBET, the draw 3.33 at Casinomoto, Juventus 2.27 at Oddset.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw shortened from 3.55 at the opening to 3.42 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 43% chance of three or more goals and 48% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Celta Vigo or Juventus?
Juventus, clearly: the closing odds put 15.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Celta Vigo – Juventus?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Celta Vigo, Casinomoto on the draw and Oddset on Juventus. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.0%) and Betmaster the least (90.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | CELTA VIGO | DRAW | JUVENTUS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 3.50 | 3.25 | 2.23 | 96.0% |
| Oddset | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.27 best price | 95.5% |
| VBET | 3.55 best price | 3.15 | 2.22 | 95.3% |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.15 | 2.22 | 94.9% |
| SpreadEx | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.25 | 94.2% |
| Betoro | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.16 | 94.2% |
| Casino House | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.16 | 94.2% |
| ComeOn | 3.37 | 3.12 | 2.25 | 94.2% |
| Betinia | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.14 | 93.9% |
| CampoBet | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.14 | 93.9% |
| Bet25 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.22 | 93.8% |
| Casinomoto | 3.40 | 3.33 best price | 2.12 | 93.8% |
| Expekt | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.25 | 93.5% |
| bwin | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 93.3% |
| GetLucky | 3.34 | 3.09 | 2.23 | 93.3% |
| Casinostuen | 3.34 | 3.09 | 2.23 | 93.3% |
| 888sport | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 91.7% |
| Mr Green | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 91.7% |
| Betmaster | 3.20 | 2.95 | 2.19 | 90.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.55 | 3.33 | 2.27 | 97.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.20–3.55 · 10.9% | 2.95–3.33 · 12.9% | 2.12–2.27 · 7.1% | 90.2–96.0% |
How did the Celta Vigo – Juventus odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw shortened from 3.55 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 3.42 at kick-off, a 3.7% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CELTA VIGO | DRAW | JUVENTUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 3.55 | 3.55 | 2.20 |
| Sat 10 Oct | 3.50 | 3.45 | 2.20 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 3.55 | 3.42 | 2.27 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Fewer than three goals was the likelier outcome in the closing odds. Both teams to score was priced at 47.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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