Celje – Omonia Nicosia odds
Omonia Nicosia went into the match as narrow favourites against Celje.
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Celje – Omonia Nicosia: closing odds analysis
- Omonia Nicosia were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of an away win, 33% for Celje and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Celje 3.20 at Stake, the draw 4.10 at bwin, Omonia Nicosia 2.45 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Celje drifted from 2.50 at the opening to 3.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance of three or more goals and 57% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Celje or Omonia Nicosia?
Omonia Nicosia, but only just: the closing odds put 6.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Celje – Omonia Nicosia?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Celje, bwin on the draw and VBET on Omonia Nicosia. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.3%) and bwin the least (88.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | CELJE | DRAW | OMONIA NICOSIA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 3.20 best price | 3.50 | 2.27 | 96.3% |
| Oddset | 2.95 | 3.40 | 2.42 | 95.6% |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.42 | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.45 best price | 94.4% |
| Casinomoto | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.37 | 94.3% |
| Betoro | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.37 | 94.3% |
| Betinia | 2.90 | 3.33 | 2.37 | 93.7% |
| CampoBet | 2.90 | 3.33 | 2.37 | 93.7% |
| ComeOn | 2.87 | 3.32 | 2.38 | 93.5% |
| SpreadEx | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 93.4% |
| Expekt | 2.85 | 3.30 | 2.38 | 93.1% |
| VBET | 2.73 | 3.29 | 2.45 best price | 92.7% |
| GetLucky | 2.85 | 3.29 | 2.36 | 92.7% |
| Casinostuen | 2.85 | 3.29 | 2.36 | 92.7% |
| 888sport | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 92.7% |
| Mr Green | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 92.7% |
| Bet25 | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.32 | 92.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.81 | 3.22 | 2.38 | 92.0% |
| Betmaster | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.32 | 90.0% |
| bwin | 2.37 | 4.10 best price | 2.15 | 88.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.20 | 4.10 | 2.45 | 103.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.37–3.20 · 35.0% | 3.10–4.10 · 32.3% | 2.15–2.45 · 14.0% | 88.4–96.3% |
How did the Celje – Omonia Nicosia odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Celje drifted from 2.50 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 3.20 at kick-off, a 28.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CELJE | DRAW | OMONIA NICOSIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| Sat 10 Oct | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.87 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 3.20 | 4.10 | 2.45 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 56.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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