Brighton – Žalgiris Kaunas odds
Brighton went into the match as heavy favourites against Žalgiris Kaunas.
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Brighton – Žalgiris Kaunas: closing odds analysis
- Brighton were favourites: the closing odds implied a 93% chance of a home win, 2% for Žalgiris Kaunas and 5% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Brighton 1.03 at Betano, the draw 26.00 at Stake, Žalgiris Kaunas 90.00 at Stake.
- 888sport had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 17.00 at the opening to 28.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 26% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Brighton or Žalgiris Kaunas?
Brighton, by a distance: the closing odds put 91.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Brighton – Žalgiris Kaunas?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Brighton, Stake on the draw and Stake on Žalgiris Kaunas. Across all three outcomes 888sport paid out the most (97.0%) and VBET the least (92.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | BRIGHTON | DRAW | ŽALGIRIS KAUNAS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.02 | 26.00 best price | 81.00 | 97.0% |
| Mr Green | 1.02 | 26.00 best price | 81.00 | 97.0% |
| Bet25 | 1.02 | 21.00 | 90.00 best price | 96.2% |
| Stake | 1.01 | 26.00 best price | 90.00 best price | 96.2% |
| bwin | 1.01 | 23.00 | 56.00 | 95.3% |
| Betano | 1.03 best price | 22.00 | 30.00 | 95.3% |
| Betmaster | 1.01 | 21.00 | 50.00 | 94.5% |
| ComeOn | 1.01 | 16.84 | 59.44 | 93.8% |
| Betoro | 1.02 | 15.00 | 51.00 | 93.8% |
| Casino House | 1.02 | 15.00 | 51.00 | 93.8% |
| GetLucky | 1.01 | 16.69 | 58.89 | 93.7% |
| Casinostuen | 1.01 | 16.69 | 58.89 | 93.7% |
| Betinia | 1.01 | 13.00 | 71.00 | 92.5% |
| CampoBet | 1.01 | 13.00 | 71.00 | 92.5% |
| Casinomoto | 1.01 | 14.00 | 51.00 | 92.5% |
| VBET | 1.02 | 15.00 | 25.00 | 92.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.03 | 26.00 | 90.00 | 98.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.01–1.03 · 2.0% | 13.00–26.00 · 100.0% | 25.00–90.00 · 260.0% | 92.4–97.0% |
How did the Brighton – Žalgiris Kaunas odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 17.00 when odds opened on 8 Sep to 28.00 at kick-off, a 64.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BRIGHTON | DRAW | ŽALGIRIS KAUNAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 8 Sep (open) | 1.13 | 17.00 | 60.00 |
| Sun 27 Sep | 1.15 | 15.00 | 50.00 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 1.03 | 28.00 | 90.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 26.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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