Brann – Lincoln Red Imps odds
Brann went into the match as heavy favourites against Lincoln Red Imps.
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Brann – Lincoln Red Imps: closing odds analysis
- Brann were favourites: the closing odds implied a 82% chance of a home win, 6% for Lincoln Red Imps and 12% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Brann 1.16 at Betano, the draw 10.00 at Stake, Lincoln Red Imps 21.00 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lincoln Red Imps drifted from 16.00 at the opening to 21.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 43% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Brann or Lincoln Red Imps?
Brann, by a distance: the closing odds put 75.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Brann – Lincoln Red Imps?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Brann, Stake on the draw and Stake on Lincoln Red Imps. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.1%) and Betmaster the least (91.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | BRANN | DRAW | LINCOLN RED IMPS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.12 | 10.00 best price | 21.00 best price | 96.1% |
| Betano | 1.16 best price | 7.70 | 16.50 | 95.0% |
| Bet25 | 1.15 | 8.40 | 14.00 | 94.3% |
| Betoro | 1.14 | 7.50 | 17.00 | 93.5% |
| Casino House | 1.14 | 7.50 | 17.00 | 93.5% |
| 888sport | 1.15 | 7.50 | 15.00 | 93.5% |
| Mr Green | 1.15 | 7.50 | 15.00 | 93.5% |
| VBET | 1.14 | 7.70 | 15.00 | 93.1% |
| bwin | 1.12 | 8.75 | 14.50 | 92.9% |
| ComeOn | 1.13 | 7.73 | 14.86 | 92.5% |
| Casinomoto | 1.14 | 7.50 | 14.00 | 92.4% |
| Betinia | 1.14 | 7.00 | 16.00 | 92.4% |
| CampoBet | 1.14 | 7.00 | 16.00 | 92.4% |
| GetLucky | 1.12 | 7.66 | 14.73 | 91.6% |
| Casinostuen | 1.12 | 7.66 | 14.73 | 91.6% |
| Betmaster | 1.14 | 7.40 | 12.00 | 91.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.16 | 10.00 | 21.00 | 99.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.12–1.16 · 3.6% | 7.00–10.00 · 42.9% | 12.00–21.00 · 75.0% | 91.3–96.1% |
How did the Brann – Lincoln Red Imps odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lincoln Red Imps drifted from 16.00 when odds opened on 8 Sep to 21.00 at kick-off, a 31.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BRANN | DRAW | LINCOLN RED IMPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 8 Sep (open) | 1.24 | 8.40 | 16.00 |
| Sun 27 Sep | 1.23 | 8.40 | 15.00 |
| Thu 15 Oct (kick-off) | 1.16 | 10.00 | 21.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 42.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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