Real Betis – Porto odds
Real Betis went into the match as clear favourites against Porto.
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Real Betis – Porto: closing odds analysis
- Real Betis were favourites: the closing odds implied a 44% chance of a home win, 31% for Porto and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Real Betis 2.60 at bwin, the draw 3.80 at bwin, Porto 3.35 at Betano.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Real Betis drifted from 2.35 at the opening to 2.60 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 62% chance of three or more goals and 59% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Real Betis or Porto?
Real Betis, clearly: the closing odds put 13.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Real Betis – Porto?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Real Betis, bwin on the draw and Betano on Porto. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.4%) and bwin the least (89.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | REAL BETIS | DRAW | PORTO | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.80 best price | 3.35 best price | 97.4% |
| VBET | 2.14 | 3.67 | 3.34 | 96.2% |
| Stake | 2.10 | 3.80 best price | 3.30 | 95.9% |
| Oddset | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.25 | 95.9% |
| ComeOn | 2.14 | 3.66 | 3.22 | 95.1% |
| Expekt | 2.15 | 3.65 | 3.20 | 95.1% |
| GetLucky | 2.12 | 3.63 | 3.19 | 94.3% |
| Casinostuen | 2.12 | 3.63 | 3.19 | 94.3% |
| 888sport | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 93.2% |
| Mr Green | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 93.2% |
| Betmaster | 2.13 | 3.45 | 3.15 | 92.9% |
| Bet25 | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.05 | 91.1% |
| bwin | 2.60 best price | 3.80 best price | 2.10 | 89.0% |
| Marathonbet | — | 3.24 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 2.60 | 3.80 | 3.35 | 105.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.00–2.60 · 30.0% | 3.24–3.80 · 17.3% | 2.10–3.35 · 59.5% | 89.0–97.4% |
How did the Real Betis – Porto odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Real Betis drifted from 2.35 when odds opened on 14 Sep to 2.60 at kick-off, a 10.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | REAL BETIS | DRAW | PORTO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 14 Sep (open) | 2.35 | 3.70 | 3.12 |
| Wed 30 Sep | 2.25 | 3.70 | 3.35 |
| Wed 14 Oct (kick-off) | 2.60 | 3.80 | 3.35 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 59.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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