Queens Park Rangers – Derby County odds
Queens Park Rangers went into the match as clear favourites against Derby County.
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Queens Park Rangers – Derby County: closing odds analysis
- Queens Park Rangers were favourites: the closing odds implied a 47% chance of a home win, 28% for Derby County and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Queens Park Rangers 3.50 at bwin, the draw 4.25 at Marathonbet, Derby County 4.70 at VBET.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Queens Park Rangers drifted from 1.93 at the opening to 3.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Queens Park Rangers or Derby County?
Queens Park Rangers, clearly: the closing odds put 18.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Queens Park Rangers – Derby County?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Queens Park Rangers, Marathonbet on the draw and VBET on Derby County. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.4%) and bwin the least (88.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | QUEENS PARK RANGERS | DRAW | DERBY COUNTY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.75 | 4.55 | 95.4% |
| Stake | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.20 | 93.3% |
| VBET | 1.63 | 3.68 | 4.70 best price | 91.1% |
| bwin | 3.50 best price | 3.70 | 1.73 | 88.2% |
| Marathonbet | — | 4.25 best price | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 3.50 | 4.25 | 4.70 | 136.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.63–3.50 · 114.7% | 3.60–4.25 · 18.1% | 1.73–4.70 · 171.7% | 88.2–95.4% |
How did the Queens Park Rangers – Derby County odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Queens Park Rangers drifted from 1.93 when odds opened on 12 Oct to 3.50 at kick-off, a 81.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | QUEENS PARK RANGERS | DRAW | DERBY COUNTY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 12 Oct (open) | 1.93 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| Tue 13 Oct | 2.90 | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| Wed 14 Oct (kick-off) | 3.50 | 4.25 | 4.70 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 52.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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