Norwich City – Southampton odds
Norwich City went into the match as narrow favourites against Southampton.
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Norwich City – Southampton: closing odds analysis
- Norwich City were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of a home win, 34% for Southampton and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Norwich City 2.40 at Betinia, the draw 3.80 at bwin, Southampton 2.90 at Oddset.
- Oddset had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Southampton drifted from 2.75 at the opening to 2.90 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance of three or more goals and 63% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Norwich City or Southampton?
Norwich City, but only just: the closing odds put 6.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Norwich City – Southampton?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Norwich City, bwin on the draw and Oddset on Southampton. Across all three outcomes Oddset paid out the most (95.8%) and bwin the least (87.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | NORWICH CITY | DRAW | SOUTHAMPTON | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddset | 2.35 | 3.65 | 2.90 best price | 95.8% |
| Betinia | 2.40 best price | 3.60 | 2.80 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.40 best price | 3.60 | 2.80 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.40 best price | 3.60 | 2.80 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.40 best price | 3.60 | 2.80 | 95.1% |
| Stake | 2.29 | 3.55 | 2.85 | 93.5% |
| ComeOn | 2.29 | 3.57 | 2.82 | 93.3% |
| GetLucky | 2.27 | 3.53 | 2.80 | 92.5% |
| Casinostuen | 2.27 | 3.53 | 2.80 | 92.5% |
| Bet25 | 2.22 | 3.65 | 2.70 | 91.3% |
| VBET | 2.36 | 3.41 | 2.62 | 91.0% |
| Betmaster | 2.24 | 3.35 | 2.75 | 90.2% |
| bwin | 2.25 | 3.80 best price | 2.30 | 87.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.40 | 3.80 | 2.90 | 97.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.22–2.40 · 8.1% | 3.35–3.80 · 13.4% | 2.30–2.90 · 26.1% | 87.5–95.8% |
How did the Norwich City – Southampton odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Southampton drifted from 2.75 when odds opened on 12 Oct to 2.90 at kick-off, a 5.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | NORWICH CITY | DRAW | SOUTHAMPTON |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 12 Oct (open) | 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.75 |
| Tue 13 Oct | 2.37 | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| Wed 14 Oct (kick-off) | 2.40 | 3.80 | 2.90 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 62.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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