Man City – Paris Saint-Germain odds
Man City went into the match as clear favourites against Paris Saint-Germain.
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Man City – Paris Saint-Germain: closing odds analysis
- Man City were favourites: the closing odds implied a 45% chance of a home win, 31% for Paris Saint-Germain and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Man City 2.80 at bwin, the draw 4.30 at Stake, Paris Saint-Germain 3.55 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Man City drifted from 2.25 at the opening to 2.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 67% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Man City or Paris Saint-Germain?
Man City, clearly: the closing odds put 14.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Man City – Paris Saint-Germain?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Man City, Stake on the draw and Stake on Paris Saint-Germain. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.3%) and bwin the least (88.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | MAN CITY | DRAW | PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.02 | 4.20 | 3.40 | 97.3% |
| VBET | 2.01 | 4.20 | 3.41 | 97.2% |
| Stake | 1.90 | 4.30 best price | 3.55 best price | 96.1% |
| Betmaster | 2.04 | 3.90 | 3.35 | 95.7% |
| Expekt | 1.98 | 4.10 | 3.35 | 95.5% |
| Betinia | 2.05 | 4.00 | 3.20 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 2.05 | 4.00 | 3.20 | 95.2% |
| Casinomoto | 2.05 | 4.00 | 3.20 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 2.05 | 4.00 | 3.20 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 2.05 | 4.00 | 3.20 | 95.2% |
| ComeOn | 2.02 | 3.96 | 3.27 | 94.9% |
| GetLucky | 2.00 | 3.93 | 3.24 | 94.1% |
| Casinostuen | 2.00 | 3.93 | 3.24 | 94.1% |
| 888sport | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.80 | 93.3% |
| Mr Green | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.80 | 93.3% |
| Oddset | 2.28 | 3.70 | 2.70 | 92.7% |
| Bet25 | 1.88 | 4.10 | 2.90 | 89.2% |
| bwin | 2.80 best price | 3.25 | 2.15 | 88.5% |
| Marathonbet | — | 3.15 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 2.80 | 4.30 | 3.55 | 114.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.88–2.80 · 48.9% | 3.15–4.30 · 36.5% | 2.15–3.55 · 65.1% | 88.5–97.3% |
How did the Man City – Paris Saint-Germain odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Man City drifted from 2.25 when odds opened on 14 Sep to 2.80 at kick-off, a 24.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MAN CITY | DRAW | PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 14 Sep (open) | 2.25 | 4.00 | 2.95 |
| Wed 30 Sep | 2.25 | 3.95 | 3.02 |
| Wed 14 Oct (kick-off) | 2.80 | 4.30 | 3.55 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 67.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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