Lincoln City – West Ham odds
West Ham went into the match as heavy favourites against Lincoln City.
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Lincoln City – West Ham: closing odds analysis
- West Ham were favourites: the closing odds implied a 53% chance of an away win, 22% for Lincoln City and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lincoln City 4.85 at VBET, the draw 4.45 at Marathonbet, West Ham 2.15 at bwin.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on West Ham drifted from 1.82 at the opening to 2.15 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance of three or more goals and 51% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lincoln City or West Ham?
West Ham, by a distance: the closing odds put 31.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lincoln City – West Ham?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Lincoln City, Marathonbet on the draw and bwin on West Ham. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.3%) and bwin the least (87.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | LINCOLN CITY | DRAW | WEST HAM | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 4.60 | 3.70 | 1.78 | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.78 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.78 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.78 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.78 | 95.2% |
| Oddset | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.77 | 94.9% |
| Casinomoto | 4.50 | 3.66 | 1.75 | 93.7% |
| Stake | 4.80 | 3.75 | 1.68 | 93.4% |
| Bet25 | 4.40 | 3.85 | 1.71 | 93.3% |
| VBET | 4.85 best price | 3.79 | 1.59 | 91.0% |
| bwin | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.15 best price | 87.5% |
| Marathonbet | — | 4.45 best price | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 4.85 | 4.45 | 2.15 | 111.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.50–4.85 · 94.0% | 3.60–4.45 · 23.6% | 1.59–2.15 · 35.2% | 87.5–95.3% |
How did the Lincoln City – West Ham odds move before kick-off?
The best price on West Ham drifted from 1.82 when odds opened on 12 Oct to 2.15 at kick-off, a 18.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LINCOLN CITY | DRAW | WEST HAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 12 Oct (open) | 4.70 | 4.00 | 1.82 |
| Tue 13 Oct | 4.70 | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| Wed 14 Oct (kick-off) | 4.85 | 4.45 | 2.15 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 51.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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