LASK – Liverpool odds
Liverpool went into the match as heavy favourites against LASK.
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LASK – Liverpool: closing odds analysis
- Liverpool were favourites: the closing odds implied a 63% chance of an away win, 16% for LASK and 21% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: LASK 7.60 at VBET, the draw 6.20 at Marathonbet, Liverpool 3.90 at bwin.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Liverpool drifted from 1.36 at the opening to 4.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance of three or more goals and 53% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, LASK or Liverpool?
Liverpool, by a distance: the closing odds put 47.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on LASK – Liverpool?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on LASK, Marathonbet on the draw and bwin on Liverpool. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.8%) and bwin the least (89.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | LASK | DRAW | LIVERPOOL | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 7.60 best price | 4.75 | 1.47 | 97.8% |
| VBET | 7.60 best price | 4.90 | 1.42 | 96.2% |
| ComeOn | 6.74 | 4.85 | 1.44 | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 7.50 | 4.50 | 1.44 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 7.50 | 4.50 | 1.44 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 7.50 | 4.33 | 1.45 | 94.9% |
| Casinomoto | 7.50 | 4.33 | 1.45 | 94.9% |
| Casino House | 7.50 | 4.33 | 1.45 | 94.9% |
| Expekt | 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.40 | 94.6% |
| GetLucky | 6.67 | 4.81 | 1.42 | 94.2% |
| Casinostuen | 6.67 | 4.81 | 1.42 | 94.2% |
| Bet25 | 6.00 | 4.90 | 1.40 | 92.2% |
| 888sport | 6.50 | 4.60 | 1.40 | 92.1% |
| Mr Green | 6.50 | 4.60 | 1.40 | 92.1% |
| bwin | 1.70 | 3.60 | 3.90 best price | 89.1% |
| Stake | — | 4.60 | 1.45 | — |
| Marathonbet | — | 6.20 best price | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 7.60 | 6.20 | 3.90 | 182.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.70–7.60 · 347.1% | 3.60–6.20 · 72.2% | 1.40–3.90 · 178.6% | 89.1–97.8% |
How did the LASK – Liverpool odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Liverpool drifted from 1.36 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 4.00 at kick-off, a 194.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LASK | DRAW | LIVERPOOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 10.00 | 8.70 | 1.36 |
| Sat 10 Oct | 10.00 | 8.70 | 1.36 |
| Wed 14 Oct (kick-off) | 7.60 | 6.20 | 4.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 53.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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