Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe odds
Aston Villa went into the match as heavy favourites against Fenerbahçe.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Corners
Cards
Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe: closing odds analysis
- Aston Villa were favourites: the closing odds implied a 55% chance of a home win, 22% for Fenerbahçe and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Aston Villa 4.40 at bwin, the draw 4.50 at Stake, Fenerbahçe 5.10 at VBET.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Aston Villa drifted from 1.93 at the opening to 4.40 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance of three or more goals and 58% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Aston Villa or Fenerbahçe?
Aston Villa, by a distance: the closing odds put 32.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Aston Villa, Stake on the draw and VBET on Fenerbahçe. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.7%) and bwin the least (89.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | ASTON VILLA | DRAW | FENERBAHÇE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.70 | 4.25 | 5.00 | 97.7% |
| VBET | 1.67 | 4.20 | 5.10 best price | 96.8% |
| Oddset | 1.67 | 4.25 | 4.75 | 95.7% |
| Expekt | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.80 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 1.69 | 4.20 | 4.50 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 1.69 | 4.20 | 4.50 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 1.69 | 4.20 | 4.50 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 1.69 | 4.20 | 4.50 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 1.69 | 4.20 | 4.50 | 95.1% |
| ComeOn | 1.65 | 4.16 | 4.85 | 95.0% |
| GetLucky | 1.64 | 4.12 | 4.81 | 94.3% |
| Casinostuen | 1.64 | 4.12 | 4.81 | 94.3% |
| SpreadEx | 1.61 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 93.5% |
| Betmaster | 1.66 | 3.90 | 4.70 | 93.3% |
| 888sport | 1.66 | 3.80 | 4.75 | 92.9% |
| Mr Green | 1.66 | 3.80 | 4.75 | 92.9% |
| Bet25 | 1.58 | 4.20 | 4.40 | 91.1% |
| bwin | 4.40 best price | 4.33 | 1.52 | 89.6% |
| Stake | 1.59 | 4.50 best price | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | 1.61 | 4.85 | — |
| BEST PRICE | 4.40 | 4.50 | 5.10 | 154.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.58–4.40 · 178.5% | 1.61–4.50 · 178.6% | 1.52–5.10 · 235.5% | 89.6–97.7% |
How did the Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Aston Villa drifted from 1.93 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 4.40 at kick-off, a 128.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ASTON VILLA | DRAW | FENERBAHÇE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 1.93 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Sat 10 Oct | 1.82 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Wed 14 Oct (kick-off) | 4.40 | 4.50 | 5.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 58.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More Champions League odds
- Arsenal – Borussia DortmundTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- Feyenoord – PortoTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- RB Leipzig – LensTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- Real Madrid – PSVTue 24 Nov · 21:00
- Sabah – BarcelonaWed 25 Nov · 18:45
- Atlético Madrid – VikingWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Club Brugge – LiverpoolWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Inter – StuttgartWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Lille – Bayern MunichWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Paris Saint-Germain – RomaWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Shakhtar Donetsk – FenerbahçeWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Sporting CP – Man UtdWed 25 Nov · 21:00
- Champions League odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.