Wrexham – West Bromwich Albion odds
Wrexham and West Bromwich Albion went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Wrexham – West Bromwich Albion: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 38% for Wrexham, 28% for a draw and 34% for West Bromwich Albion.
- Best closing odds: Wrexham 3.40 at bwin, the draw 3.50 at bwin, West Bromwich Albion 3.30 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Wrexham drifted from 2.45 at the opening to 3.40 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 50% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Wrexham or West Bromwich Albion?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 3.7 percentage points between Wrexham and West Bromwich Albion.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Wrexham – West Bromwich Albion?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Wrexham, bwin on the draw and Stake on West Bromwich Albion. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.2%) and bwin the least (87.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | WREXHAM | DRAW | WEST BROMWICH ALBION | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.30 best price | 95.2% |
| Stake | 2.19 | 3.25 | 3.30 best price | 93.7% |
| VBET | 2.21 | 3.20 | 2.99 | 91.0% |
| bwin | 3.40 best price | 3.50 best price | 1.77 | 87.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.40 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 113.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.19–3.40 · 55.3% | 3.20–3.50 · 9.4% | 1.77–3.30 · 86.4% | 87.4–95.2% |
How did the Wrexham – West Bromwich Albion odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Wrexham drifted from 2.45 when odds opened on 11 Oct to 3.40 at kick-off, a 38.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | WREXHAM | DRAW | WEST BROMWICH ALBION |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 11 Oct (open) | 2.45 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Mon 12 Oct | 2.40 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Tue 13 Oct (kick-off) | 3.40 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 50.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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