Wolves – Bolton odds
Wolves went into the match as heavy favourites against Bolton.
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Wolves – Bolton: closing odds analysis
- Wolves were favourites: the closing odds implied a 62% chance of a home win, 18% for Bolton and 20% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Wolves 4.33 at bwin, the draw 5.00 at Bet25, Bolton 8.00 at Betoro.
- Betoro had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Bolton drifted from 7.50 at the opening to 8.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance of three or more goals and 49% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Wolves or Bolton?
Wolves, by a distance: the closing odds put 43.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Wolves – Bolton?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Wolves, Bet25 on the draw and Betoro on Bolton. Across all three outcomes Betoro paid out the most (95.3%) and bwin the least (87.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | WOLVES | DRAW | BOLTON | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betoro | 1.40 | 4.75 | 8.00 best price | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 1.40 | 4.75 | 8.00 best price | 95.3% |
| Betano | 1.40 | 4.90 | 7.60 | 95.2% |
| Stake | 1.37 | 4.90 | 7.60 | 93.8% |
| Bet25 | 1.39 | 5.00 best price | 6.60 | 93.4% |
| Mr Green | 1.36 | 4.60 | 7.00 | 91.3% |
| VBET | 1.35 | 4.70 | 7.00 | 91.2% |
| bwin | 4.33 best price | 4.10 | 1.51 | 87.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 4.33 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 179.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.35–4.33 · 220.7% | 4.10–5.00 · 22.0% | 1.51–8.00 · 429.8% | 87.9–95.3% |
How did the Wolves – Bolton odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Bolton drifted from 7.50 when odds opened on 13 Oct to 8.00 at kick-off, a 6.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | WOLVES | DRAW | BOLTON |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 13 Oct (open) | 1.44 | 5.33 | 7.50 |
| Tue 13 Oct (kick-off) | 1.40 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 49.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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