Sabah – Slavia Prague odds
Slavia Prague went into the match as clear favourites against Sabah.
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Sabah – Slavia Prague: closing odds analysis
- Slavia Prague were favourites: the closing odds implied a 49% chance of an away win, 26% for Sabah and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Sabah 4.00 at VBET, the draw 3.90 at Stake, Slavia Prague 2.50 at bwin.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Slavia Prague drifted from 2.15 at the opening to 2.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance of three or more goals and 58% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Sabah or Slavia Prague?
Slavia Prague, clearly: the closing odds put 22.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Sabah – Slavia Prague?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Sabah, Stake on the draw and bwin on Slavia Prague. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.2%) and bwin the least (88.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | SABAH | DRAW | SLAVIA PRAGUE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 3.85 | 3.90 best price | 1.95 | 97.2% |
| VBET | 4.00 best price | 3.75 | 1.91 | 96.1% |
| ComeOn | 3.76 | 3.81 | 1.92 | 95.3% |
| SpreadEx | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.91 | 95.2% |
| Expekt | 3.70 | 3.85 | 1.92 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 3.66 | 3.80 | 1.94 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.90 | 95.0% |
| Casinomoto | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.90 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.90 | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.90 | 95.0% |
| GetLucky | 3.73 | 3.78 | 1.90 | 94.4% |
| Casinostuen | 3.73 | 3.78 | 1.90 | 94.4% |
| 888sport | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.85 | 92.2% |
| Mr Green | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.85 | 92.2% |
| Bet25 | 3.45 | 3.85 | 1.82 | 91.0% |
| bwin | 2.20 | 3.70 | 2.50 best price | 88.9% |
| Stake | — | 3.90 best price | 1.82 | — |
| Marathonbet | 3.62 | 1.87 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 4.00 | 3.90 | 2.50 | 110.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.20–4.00 · 81.8% | 1.87–3.90 · 108.6% | 1.82–2.50 · 37.4% | 88.9–97.2% |
How did the Sabah – Slavia Prague odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Slavia Prague drifted from 2.15 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 2.50 at kick-off, a 16.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SABAH | DRAW | SLAVIA PRAGUE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 3.58 | 3.80 | 2.15 |
| Fri 9 Oct | 3.58 | 3.80 | 2.10 |
| Tue 13 Oct (kick-off) | 4.00 | 3.90 | 2.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 58.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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