Lens – Sporting CP odds
Lens and Sporting CP went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Lens – Sporting CP: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 37% for Lens, 26% for a draw and 37% for Sporting CP.
- Best closing odds: Lens 2.70 at Betano, the draw 3.90 at bwin, Sporting CP 2.80 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lens drifted from 2.45 at the opening to 2.70 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance of three or more goals and 62% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lens or Sporting CP?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 0.2 percentage points between Lens and Sporting CP.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lens – Sporting CP?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Lens, bwin on the draw and Stake on Sporting CP. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.5%) and bwin the least (89.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | LENS | DRAW | SPORTING CP | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.70 best price | 3.80 | 2.55 | 97.5% |
| Stake | 2.44 | 3.70 | 2.80 best price | 96.4% |
| VBET | 2.61 | 3.71 | 2.58 | 96.1% |
| Betinia | 2.62 | 3.75 | 2.50 | 95.4% |
| Casinomoto | 2.62 | 3.75 | 2.50 | 95.4% |
| Betoro | 2.62 | 3.75 | 2.50 | 95.4% |
| Casino House | 2.62 | 3.75 | 2.50 | 95.4% |
| SpreadEx | 2.63 | 3.60 | 2.55 | 95.2% |
| ComeOn | 2.58 | 3.62 | 2.58 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.54 | 3.66 | 2.60 | 95.1% |
| Expekt | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 94.8% |
| GetLucky | 2.55 | 3.58 | 2.55 | 94.0% |
| Casinostuen | 2.55 | 3.58 | 2.55 | 94.0% |
| Betmaster | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 92.7% |
| 888sport | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.50 | 92.1% |
| Mr Green | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.50 | 92.1% |
| Bet25 | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.35 | 90.0% |
| bwin | 2.05 | 3.90 best price | 2.65 | 89.2% |
| Marathonbet | — | 2.52 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 2.70 | 3.90 | 2.80 | 101.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.05–2.70 · 31.7% | 2.52–3.90 · 54.8% | 2.35–2.80 · 19.1% | 89.2–97.5% |
How did the Lens – Sporting CP odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lens drifted from 2.45 when odds opened on 14 Sep to 2.70 at kick-off, a 10.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LENS | DRAW | SPORTING CP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 14 Sep (open) | 2.45 | 3.75 | 2.80 |
| Tue 29 Sep | 2.45 | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| Tue 13 Oct (kick-off) | 2.70 | 3.90 | 2.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 62.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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