Galatasaray – Barcelona odds
Barcelona went into the match as heavy favourites against Galatasaray.
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Galatasaray – Barcelona: closing odds analysis
- Barcelona were favourites: the closing odds implied a 71% chance of an away win, 14% for Galatasaray and 15% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Galatasaray 9.00 at Betinia, the draw 7.30 at Marathonbet, Barcelona 3.75 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Barcelona drifted from 1.44 at the opening to 3.75 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 67% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Galatasaray or Barcelona?
Barcelona, by a distance: the closing odds put 57.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Galatasaray – Barcelona?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Galatasaray, Marathonbet on the draw and bwin on Barcelona. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (97.8%) and bwin the least (89.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | GALATASARAY | DRAW | BARCELONA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 8.80 | 6.60 | 1.32 | 97.8% |
| Betano | 9.00 best price | 6.90 | 1.30 | 97.5% |
| ComeOn | 8.62 | 6.93 | 1.27 | 95.4% |
| Expekt | 8.50 | 7.00 | 1.26 | 94.9% |
| Betinia | 9.00 best price | 6.66 | 1.26 | 94.8% |
| CampoBet | 9.00 best price | 6.66 | 1.26 | 94.8% |
| Casinomoto | 9.00 best price | 6.66 | 1.26 | 94.8% |
| Betoro | 9.00 best price | 6.66 | 1.26 | 94.8% |
| Casino House | 9.00 best price | 6.66 | 1.26 | 94.8% |
| GetLucky | 8.54 | 6.87 | 1.26 | 94.7% |
| Casinostuen | 8.54 | 6.87 | 1.26 | 94.7% |
| Oddset | 7.75 | 6.50 | 1.28 | 94.0% |
| Betmaster | 8.00 | 6.40 | 1.27 | 93.6% |
| 888sport | 7.50 | 5.75 | 1.30 | 92.9% |
| Mr Green | 7.50 | 5.75 | 1.30 | 92.9% |
| Bet25 | 6.80 | 6.80 | 1.24 | 90.9% |
| bwin | 1.71 | 3.70 | 3.75 best price | 89.1% |
| Stake | — | 6.60 | 1.32 | — |
| Marathonbet | — | 7.30 best price | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 9.00 | 7.30 | 3.75 | 194.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.71–9.00 · 426.3% | 3.70–7.30 · 97.3% | 1.24–3.75 · 202.4% | 89.1–97.8% |
How did the Galatasaray – Barcelona odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Barcelona drifted from 1.44 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 3.75 at kick-off, a 160.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | GALATASARAY | DRAW | BARCELONA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 8.50 | 7.30 | 1.44 |
| Fri 9 Oct | 8.50 | 7.30 | 1.41 |
| Tue 13 Oct (kick-off) | 9.00 | 7.30 | 3.75 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 67.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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