Burnley – Charlton Athletic odds
Burnley went into the match as heavy favourites against Charlton Athletic.
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Burnley – Charlton Athletic: closing odds analysis
- Burnley were favourites: the closing odds implied a 56% chance of a home win, 20% for Charlton Athletic and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Burnley 2.90 at bwin, the draw 4.10 at Bet25, Charlton Athletic 5.40 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Burnley drifted from 1.80 at the opening to 2.90 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 49% chance of three or more goals and 50% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Burnley or Charlton Athletic?
Burnley, by a distance: the closing odds put 35.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Burnley – Charlton Athletic?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Burnley, Bet25 on the draw and Stake on Charlton Athletic. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.5%) and bwin the least (88.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | BURNLEY | DRAW | CHARLTON ATHLETIC | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.90 | 5.40 best price | 95.5% |
| Betinia | 1.66 | 3.80 | 5.33 | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 1.66 | 3.80 | 5.33 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 1.66 | 3.80 | 5.33 | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 1.66 | 3.80 | 5.33 | 95.0% |
| Oddset | 1.63 | 4.00 | 5.25 | 94.9% |
| Bet25 | 1.61 | 4.10 best price | 5.00 | 93.9% |
| Stake | 1.60 | 3.90 | 5.40 best price | 93.8% |
| ComeOn | 1.60 | 3.96 | 5.15 | 93.3% |
| GetLucky | 1.59 | 3.93 | 5.10 | 92.6% |
| Casinostuen | 1.59 | 3.93 | 5.10 | 92.6% |
| VBET | 1.57 | 3.73 | 5.10 | 90.8% |
| Betmaster | 1.59 | 3.70 | 4.80 | 90.3% |
| bwin | 2.90 best price | 3.70 | 1.93 | 88.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.90 | 4.10 | 5.40 | 129.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.57–2.90 · 84.7% | 3.70–4.10 · 10.8% | 1.93–5.40 · 179.8% | 88.2–95.5% |
How did the Burnley – Charlton Athletic odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Burnley drifted from 1.80 when odds opened on 11 Oct to 2.90 at kick-off, a 61.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BURNLEY | DRAW | CHARLTON ATHLETIC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 11 Oct (open) | 1.80 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Mon 12 Oct | 1.80 | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| Tue 13 Oct (kick-off) | 2.90 | 4.10 | 5.40 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 49.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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