Bristol City – Blackburn Rovers odds
Bristol City went into the match as narrow favourites against Blackburn Rovers.
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Bristol City – Blackburn Rovers: closing odds analysis
- Bristol City were favourites: the closing odds implied a 42% chance of a home win, 30% for Blackburn Rovers and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Bristol City 3.50 at bwin, the draw 3.35 at Bet25, Blackburn Rovers 3.40 at Betinia.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Bristol City drifted from 2.10 at the opening to 3.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 44% chance of three or more goals and 51% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Bristol City or Blackburn Rovers?
Bristol City, but only just: the closing odds put 11.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Bristol City – Blackburn Rovers?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Bristol City, Bet25 on the draw and Betinia on Blackburn Rovers. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.5%) and bwin the least (87.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | BRISTOL CITY | DRAW | BLACKBURN ROVERS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.30 | 3.40 best price | 95.5% |
| Betinia | 2.20 | 3.33 | 3.40 best price | 95.3% |
| CampoBet | 2.20 | 3.33 | 3.40 best price | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 2.20 | 3.33 | 3.40 best price | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 2.20 | 3.33 | 3.40 best price | 95.3% |
| ComeOn | 2.22 | 3.27 | 3.22 | 93.7% |
| Bet25 | 2.20 | 3.35 best price | 3.15 | 93.4% |
| Stake | 2.22 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 93.4% |
| GetLucky | 2.20 | 3.24 | 3.19 | 92.9% |
| Casinostuen | 2.20 | 3.24 | 3.19 | 92.9% |
| 888sport | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 92.6% |
| Mr Green | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 92.6% |
| VBET | 2.02 | 3.21 | 3.40 best price | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 2.18 | 3.05 | 3.10 | 90.2% |
| bwin | 3.50 best price | 3.30 | 1.80 | 87.4% |
| Marathonbet | — | 3.18 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 3.50 | 3.35 | 3.40 | 113.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.02–3.50 · 73.3% | 3.05–3.35 · 9.8% | 1.80–3.40 · 88.9% | 87.4–95.5% |
How did the Bristol City – Blackburn Rovers odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Bristol City drifted from 2.10 when odds opened on 11 Oct to 3.50 at kick-off, a 66.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BRISTOL CITY | DRAW | BLACKBURN ROVERS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 11 Oct (open) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Mon 12 Oct | 2.15 | 3.45 | 3.60 |
| Tue 13 Oct (kick-off) | 3.50 | 3.35 | 3.40 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Fewer than three goals was the likelier outcome in the closing odds. Both teams to score was priced at 50.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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