Birmingham City – Preston odds
Birmingham City went into the match as heavy favourites against Preston.
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Birmingham City – Preston: closing odds analysis
- Birmingham City were favourites: the closing odds implied a 59% chance of a home win, 19% for Preston and 21% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Birmingham City 3.50 at bwin, the draw 4.75 at Betinia, Preston 6.50 at Betinia.
- Betinia had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Birmingham City shortened from 1.50 at the opening to 1.47 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 50% chance of three or more goals and 50% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Birmingham City or Preston?
Birmingham City, by a distance: the closing odds put 40.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Birmingham City – Preston?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Birmingham City, Betinia on the draw and Betinia on Preston. Across all three outcomes Betinia paid out the most (95.3%) and bwin the least (87.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | BIRMINGHAM CITY | DRAW | PRESTON | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betinia | 1.46 | 4.75 best price | 6.50 best price | 95.3% |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.60 | 6.40 | 94.9% |
| Casinomoto | 1.45 | 4.75 best price | 6.00 | 93.7% |
| Stake | 1.46 | 4.50 | 6.20 | 93.6% |
| Bet25 | 1.46 | 4.60 | 6.00 | 93.5% |
| 888sport | 1.44 | 4.40 | 6.00 | 91.9% |
| VBET | 1.43 | 4.30 | 6.00 | 91.0% |
| bwin | 3.50 best price | 3.30 | 1.80 | 87.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.50 | 4.75 | 6.50 | 153.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.43–3.50 · 144.8% | 3.30–4.75 · 43.9% | 1.80–6.50 · 261.1% | 87.4–95.3% |
How did the Birmingham City – Preston odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Birmingham City shortened from 1.50 when odds opened on 13 Oct to 1.47 at kick-off, a 2.0% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BIRMINGHAM CITY | DRAW | PRESTON |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 13 Oct (open) | 1.50 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Tue 13 Oct (kick-off) | 1.47 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 50.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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