Levante – Sevilla odds
Levante and Sevilla went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Levante – Sevilla: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 34% for Levante, 29% for a draw and 37% for Sevilla.
- Best closing odds: Levante 3.00 at Stake, the draw 3.45 at Betano, Sevilla 2.65 at Betano.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Levante drifted from 2.67 at the opening to 3.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 43% chance of three or more goals and 52% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Levante or Sevilla?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 2.8 percentage points between Levante and Sevilla.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Levante – Sevilla?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Levante, Betano on the draw and Betano on Sevilla. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.9%) and Bet25 the least (89.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | LEVANTE | DRAW | SEVILLA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.82 | 3.45 best price | 2.65 best price | 97.9% |
| VBET | 2.98 | 3.26 | 2.51 | 96.1% |
| Stake | 3.00 best price | 3.35 | 2.44 | 96.0% |
| Betinia | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.60 | 95.3% |
| CampoBet | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.60 | 95.3% |
| Casinomoto | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.60 | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.60 | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.60 | 95.3% |
| Oddset | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 95.1% |
| SpreadEx | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.63 | 94.4% |
| bwin | 2.95 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 94.4% |
| ComeOn | 2.67 | 3.22 | 2.58 | 93.2% |
| Betmaster | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.60 | 92.8% |
| 888sport | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 92.3% |
| Mr Green | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 92.3% |
| GetLucky | 2.65 | 3.19 | 2.55 | 92.3% |
| Casinostuen | 2.65 | 3.19 | 2.55 | 92.3% |
| Bet25 | 2.55 | 3.15 | 2.45 | 89.5% |
| Marathonbet | — | 2.69 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 3.00 | 3.45 | 2.65 | 99.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.55–3.00 · 17.6% | 2.69–3.45 · 28.3% | 2.44–2.65 · 8.6% | 89.5–97.9% |
How did the Levante – Sevilla odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Levante drifted from 2.67 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 3.00 at kick-off, a 12.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LEVANTE | DRAW | SEVILLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 2.67 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| Fri 9 Oct | 2.79 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| Mon 12 Oct (kick-off) | 3.00 | 3.45 | 2.65 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Fewer than three goals was the likelier outcome in the closing odds. Both teams to score was priced at 52.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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