Vendsyssel FF – HB Køge odds
Vendsyssel FF went into the match as narrow favourites against HB Køge.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Vendsyssel FF – HB Køge: closing odds analysis
- Vendsyssel FF were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of a home win, 34% for HB Køge and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Vendsyssel FF 2.46 at VBET, the draw 3.45 at VBET, HB Køge 2.84 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on HB Køge shortened from 3.12 at the opening to 2.84 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Vendsyssel FF or HB Køge?
Vendsyssel FF, but only just: the closing odds put 4.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Vendsyssel FF – HB Køge?
VBET, on all three outcomes. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.4%) and bwin the least (90.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | VENDSYSSEL FF | DRAW | HB KØGE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.46 best price | 3.45 best price | 2.84 best price | 95.4% |
| Stake | 2.32 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 91.3% |
| bwin | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 90.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.46 | 3.45 | 2.84 | 95.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.32–2.46 · 6.0% | 3.40–3.45 · 1.5% | 2.55–2.84 · 11.4% | 90.7–95.4% |
How did the Vendsyssel FF – HB Køge odds move before kick-off?
The best price on HB Køge shortened from 3.12 when odds opened on 10 Oct to 2.84 at kick-off, a 9.0% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | VENDSYSSEL FF | DRAW | HB KØGE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10 Oct (open) | 2.33 | 3.30 | 3.12 |
| Sun 11 Oct (kick-off) | 2.46 | 3.45 | 2.84 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 59.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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