Silkeborg IF – AC Horsens odds
Silkeborg IF went into the match as clear favourites against AC Horsens.
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Silkeborg IF – AC Horsens: closing odds analysis
- Silkeborg IF were favourites: the closing odds implied a 44% chance of a home win, 30% for AC Horsens and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Silkeborg IF 2.23 at ComeOn, the draw 3.65 at Oddset, AC Horsens 3.65 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on AC Horsens drifted from 3.17 at the opening to 3.65 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance of three or more goals and 57% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Silkeborg IF or AC Horsens?
Silkeborg IF, clearly: the closing odds put 14.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Silkeborg IF – AC Horsens?
It depended on the outcome: ComeOn was best on Silkeborg IF, Oddset on the draw and VBET on AC Horsens. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (96.1%) and Bet25 the least (87.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | SILKEBORG IF | DRAW | AC HORSENS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.05 | 3.59 | 3.65 best price | 96.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.22 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 96.1% |
| ComeOn | 2.23 best price | 3.57 | 3.16 | 95.7% |
| Oddset | 2.20 | 3.65 best price | 3.15 | 95.6% |
| Expekt | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.15 | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.14 | 95.2% |
| bwin | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 94.4% |
| Betoro | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.14 | 93.7% |
| Stake | 2.06 | 3.45 | 3.40 | 93.5% |
| SpreadEx | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 93.2% |
| Betinia | 2.12 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 92.6% |
| CampoBet | 2.12 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 92.6% |
| 888sport | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 92.6% |
| Mr Green | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 92.6% |
| GetLucky | 2.15 | 3.44 | 3.04 | 92.2% |
| Casinostuen | 2.15 | 3.44 | 3.04 | 92.2% |
| Betmaster | 2.13 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 90.0% |
| Bet25 | 2.03 | 3.35 | 2.85 | 87.6% |
| Marathonbet | — | 3.00 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 2.23 | 3.65 | 3.65 | 100.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.03–2.23 · 9.9% | 3.00–3.65 · 21.7% | 2.85–3.65 · 28.1% | 87.6–96.1% |
How did the Silkeborg IF – AC Horsens odds move before kick-off?
The best price on AC Horsens drifted from 3.17 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 3.65 at kick-off, a 15.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SILKEBORG IF | DRAW | AC HORSENS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 2.16 | 3.67 | 3.17 |
| Thu 8 Oct | 2.21 | 3.66 | 3.18 |
| Sun 11 Oct (kick-off) | 2.23 | 3.65 | 3.65 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 56.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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