Hull β Everton odds
Everton went into the match as clear favourites against Hull.
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Hull β Everton: closing odds analysis
- Everton were favourites: the closing odds implied a 47% chance of an away win, 25% for Hull and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Hull 4.30 at VBET, the draw 3.55 at Stake, Everton 2.15 at Betano.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hull drifted from 3.66 at the opening to 4.30 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 51% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Hull or Everton?
Everton, clearly: the closing odds put 22.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Hull β Everton?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Hull, Stake on the draw and Betano on Everton. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.6%) and bwin the least (94.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | HULL | DRAW | EVERTON | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 3.65 | 3.50 | 2.15 best price | 97.6% |
| Stake | 4.20 | 3.55 best price | 1.92 | 96.1% |
| VBET | 4.30 best price | 3.34 | 1.94 | 95.5% |
| SpreadEx | 3.60 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 94.6% |
| bwin | 3.75 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 94.6% |
| Marathonbet | β | 3.40 | β | β |
| BEST PRICE | 4.30 | 3.55 | 2.15 | 102.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.60β4.30 Β· 19.4% | 3.30β3.55 Β· 7.6% | 1.92β2.15 Β· 12.0% | 94.6β97.6% |
How did the Hull β Everton odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hull drifted from 3.66 when odds opened on 21 Sep to 4.30 at kick-off, a 17.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HULL | DRAW | EVERTON |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 21 Sep (open) | 3.66 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Fri 2 Oct | 3.72 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Sun 11 Oct (kick-off) | 4.30 | 3.55 | 2.15 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 51.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 Γ· decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 Γ· (1/oddsβ + 1/oddsβ + 1/oddsβ): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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