FC Midtjylland – FC Copenhagen odds
FC Midtjylland and FC Copenhagen went into the match almost level in the odds.
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FC Midtjylland – FC Copenhagen: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 37% for FC Midtjylland, 26% for a draw and 37% for FC Copenhagen.
- Best closing odds: FC Midtjylland 2.92 at VBET, the draw 3.82 at VBET, FC Copenhagen 2.66 at Casino House.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 98.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on FC Midtjylland drifted from 2.62 at the opening to 2.92 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance of three or more goals and 60% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, FC Midtjylland or FC Copenhagen?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 0.2 percentage points between FC Midtjylland and FC Copenhagen.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on FC Midtjylland – FC Copenhagen?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on FC Midtjylland, VBET on the draw and Casino House on FC Copenhagen. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (98.1%) and Bet25 the least (86.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | FC MIDTJYLLAND | DRAW | FC COPENHAGEN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.92 best price | 3.82 best price | 2.41 | 98.1% |
| ComeOn | 2.55 | 3.67 | 2.65 | 96.0% |
| Casinomoto | 2.54 | 3.75 | 2.62 | 96.0% |
| Casino House | 2.50 | 3.66 | 2.66 best price | 95.3% |
| Expekt | 2.50 | 3.65 | 2.65 | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 2.50 | 3.65 | 2.60 | 94.5% |
| bwin | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.40 | 94.4% |
| SpreadEx | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.55 | 94.2% |
| Betoro | 2.45 | 3.66 | 2.60 | 93.8% |
| Stake | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.39 | 93.7% |
| Betinia | 2.42 | 3.60 | 2.57 | 92.6% |
| CampoBet | 2.42 | 3.60 | 2.57 | 92.6% |
| GetLucky | 2.45 | 3.53 | 2.55 | 92.3% |
| Casinostuen | 2.45 | 3.53 | 2.55 | 92.3% |
| Betmaster | 2.42 | 3.35 | 2.55 | 90.6% |
| Bet25 | 2.28 | 3.40 | 2.38 | 86.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.92 | 3.82 | 2.66 | 102.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.28–2.92 · 28.1% | 3.35–3.82 · 14.0% | 2.38–2.66 · 11.8% | 86.7–98.1% |
How did the FC Midtjylland – FC Copenhagen odds move before kick-off?
The best price on FC Midtjylland drifted from 2.62 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 2.92 at kick-off, a 11.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | FC MIDTJYLLAND | DRAW | FC COPENHAGEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 2.62 | 3.72 | 2.60 |
| Thu 8 Oct | 2.61 | 3.75 | 2.60 |
| Sun 11 Oct (kick-off) | 2.92 | 3.82 | 2.66 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 60.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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