Crystal Palace – Nottingham Forest odds
Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Crystal Palace – Nottingham Forest: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 34% for Crystal Palace, 29% for a draw and 37% for Nottingham Forest.
- Best closing odds: Crystal Palace 2.91 at VBET, the draw 3.45 at Stake, Nottingham Forest 2.62 at 888sport.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Crystal Palace drifted from 2.63 at the opening to 2.91 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 48% chance of three or more goals and 56% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Crystal Palace or Nottingham Forest?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 3.0 percentage points between Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Crystal Palace – Nottingham Forest?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Crystal Palace, Stake on the draw and 888sport on Nottingham Forest. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.0%) and Mr Green the least (92.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | CRYSTAL PALACE | DRAW | NOTTINGHAM FOREST | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.90 | 3.45 best price | 2.46 | 96.0% |
| SpreadEx | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 95.2% |
| VBET | 2.91 best price | 3.27 | 2.49 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 2.80 | 3.33 | 2.54 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.80 | 3.33 | 2.54 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.80 | 3.33 | 2.54 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.80 | 3.33 | 2.54 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.80 | 3.33 | 2.54 | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.60 | 94.9% |
| bwin | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 94.5% |
| 888sport | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.62 best price | 92.1% |
| Mr Green | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.62 best price | 92.1% |
| Marathonbet | — | 2.62 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 2.91 | 3.45 | 2.62 | 98.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.62–2.91 · 11.1% | 2.62–3.45 · 31.7% | 2.46–2.62 · 6.5% | 92.1–96.0% |
How did the Crystal Palace – Nottingham Forest odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Crystal Palace drifted from 2.63 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 2.91 at kick-off, a 10.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CRYSTAL PALACE | DRAW | NOTTINGHAM FOREST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| Thu 8 Oct | 2.66 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| Sun 11 Oct (kick-off) | 2.91 | 3.45 | 2.62 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 56.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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