Brøndby IF – Lyngby BK odds
Brøndby IF went into the match as heavy favourites against Lyngby BK.
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Brøndby IF – Lyngby BK: closing odds analysis
- Brøndby IF were favourites: the closing odds implied a 55% chance of a home win, 22% for Lyngby BK and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Brøndby IF 1.79 at ComeOn, the draw 4.50 at VBET, Lyngby BK 5.30 at VBET.
- ComeOn had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lyngby BK drifted from 4.20 at the opening to 5.30 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance of three or more goals and 58% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Brøndby IF or Lyngby BK?
Brøndby IF, by a distance: the closing odds put 32.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Brøndby IF – Lyngby BK?
It depended on the outcome: ComeOn was best on Brøndby IF, VBET on the draw and VBET on Lyngby BK. Across all three outcomes ComeOn paid out the most (96.4%) and Bet25 the least (87.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | BRØNDBY IF | DRAW | LYNGBY BK | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ComeOn | 1.79 best price | 4.08 | 4.28 | 96.4% |
| VBET | 1.59 | 4.50 best price | 5.30 best price | 96.2% |
| Casinomoto | 1.77 | 4.20 | 4.20 | 96.0% |
| bwin | 1.60 | 4.33 | 5.25 | 95.6% |
| Expekt | 1.77 | 4.10 | 4.20 | 95.5% |
| Oddset | 1.77 | 4.00 | 4.25 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 1.73 | 4.25 | 4.20 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 1.72 | 4.00 | 4.20 | 93.5% |
| Stake | 1.58 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 93.4% |
| GetLucky | 1.73 | 3.93 | 4.12 | 93.0% |
| Casinostuen | 1.73 | 3.93 | 4.12 | 93.0% |
| 888sport | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 92.8% |
| Mr Green | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 92.8% |
| Betinia | 1.71 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 92.2% |
| CampoBet | 1.71 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 92.2% |
| Betmaster | 1.72 | 3.70 | 3.90 | 90.2% |
| Bet25 | 1.63 | 3.85 | 3.70 | 87.5% |
| Marathonbet | — | 4.00 | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 1.79 | 4.50 | 5.30 | 103.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.58–1.79 · 13.3% | 3.70–4.50 · 21.6% | 3.70–5.30 · 43.2% | 87.5–96.4% |
How did the Brøndby IF – Lyngby BK odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lyngby BK drifted from 4.20 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 5.30 at kick-off, a 26.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BRØNDBY IF | DRAW | LYNGBY BK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 1.78 | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| Thu 8 Oct | 1.80 | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| Sun 11 Oct (kick-off) | 1.79 | 4.50 | 5.30 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 57.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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