1. FC Köln – Borussia Mönchengladbach odds
1. FC Köln went into the match as clear favourites against Borussia Mönchengladbach.
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1. FC Köln – Borussia Mönchengladbach: closing odds analysis
- 1. FC Köln were favourites: the closing odds implied a 49% chance of a home win, 27% for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: 1. FC Köln 1.93 at bwin, the draw 4.10 at Stake, Borussia Mönchengladbach 3.66 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Borussia Mönchengladbach drifted from 3.40 at the opening to 3.66 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 64% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, 1. FC Köln or Borussia Mönchengladbach?
1. FC Köln, clearly: the closing odds put 22.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on 1. FC Köln – Borussia Mönchengladbach?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on 1. FC Köln, Stake on the draw and VBET on Borussia Mönchengladbach. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.2%) and bwin the least (94.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | 1. FC KÖLN | DRAW | BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.93 best price | 4.10 best price | 3.60 | 96.2% |
| VBET | 1.93 best price | 3.88 | 3.66 best price | 95.3% |
| bwin | 1.93 best price | 3.90 | 3.50 | 94.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.93 | 4.10 | 3.66 | 96.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.93–1.93 · 0.0% | 3.88–4.10 · 5.7% | 3.50–3.66 · 4.6% | 94.3–96.2% |
How did the 1. FC Köln – Borussia Mönchengladbach odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Borussia Mönchengladbach drifted from 3.40 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 3.66 at kick-off, a 7.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | 1. FC KÖLN | DRAW | BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 2.01 | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| Thu 8 Oct | 2.07 | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| Sun 11 Oct (kick-off) | 1.93 | 4.10 | 3.66 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 63.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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