West Bromwich Albion – Birmingham City odds
West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham City went into the match almost level in the odds.
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West Bromwich Albion – Birmingham City: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 35% for West Bromwich Albion, 28% for a draw and 36% for Birmingham City.
- Best closing odds: West Bromwich Albion 2.70 at bwin, the draw 3.50 at bwin, Birmingham City 2.80 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 93.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on West Bromwich Albion drifted from 2.40 at the opening to 2.70 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, West Bromwich Albion or Birmingham City?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 1.1 percentage points between West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham City.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on West Bromwich Albion – Birmingham City?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on West Bromwich Albion, bwin on the draw and Stake on Birmingham City. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (93.5%) and bwin the least (88.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | WEST BROMWICH ALBION | DRAW | BIRMINGHAM CITY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.80 best price | 93.5% |
| VBET | 2.53 | 3.00 | 2.69 | 90.9% |
| bwin | 2.70 best price | 3.50 best price | 2.10 | 88.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 98.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.50–2.70 · 8.0% | 3.00–3.50 · 16.7% | 2.10–2.80 · 33.3% | 88.3–93.5% |
How did the West Bromwich Albion – Birmingham City odds move before kick-off?
The best price on West Bromwich Albion drifted from 2.40 when odds opened on 5 Oct to 2.70 at kick-off, a 12.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | WEST BROMWICH ALBION | DRAW | BIRMINGHAM CITY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 5 Oct (open) | 2.40 | 3.45 | 3.00 |
| Wed 7 Oct | 2.45 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Sat 10 Oct (kick-off) | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 51.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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