Real Madrid – Villarreal odds
Real Madrid went into the match as heavy favourites against Villarreal.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Corners
Cards
Real Madrid – Villarreal: closing odds analysis
- Real Madrid were favourites: the closing odds implied a 70% chance of a home win, 14% for Villarreal and 16% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Real Madrid 1.39 at Betano, the draw 6.45 at Marathonbet, Villarreal 8.00 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Real Madrid drifted from 1.28 at the opening to 1.39 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Real Madrid or Villarreal?
Real Madrid, by a distance: the closing odds put 56.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Real Madrid – Villarreal?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Real Madrid, Marathonbet on the draw and Stake on Villarreal. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.4%) and Bet25 the least (89.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | REAL MADRID | DRAW | VILLARREAL | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.39 best price | 5.60 | 7.80 | 97.4% |
| Stake | 1.32 | 6.40 | 8.00 best price | 96.3% |
| VBET | 1.35 | 5.80 | 7.80 | 96.0% |
| ComeOn | 1.37 | 5.94 | 6.83 | 95.7% |
| Betmaster | 1.39 best price | 5.60 | 6.60 | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 1.33 | 6.00 | 7.50 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 1.33 | 6.00 | 7.50 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 1.33 | 6.00 | 7.50 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 1.33 | 6.00 | 7.50 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 1.33 | 6.00 | 7.50 | 95.1% |
| bwin | 1.36 | 5.75 | 7.00 | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 1.38 | 5.75 | 6.50 | 95.0% |
| Casinostuen | 1.35 | 5.89 | 6.77 | 94.5% |
| GetLucky | 1.36 | 5.79 | 6.57 | 94.3% |
| SpreadEx | 1.33 | 5.80 | 7.00 | 93.9% |
| 888sport | 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 91.8% |
| Mr Green | 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 91.8% |
| Bet25 | 1.32 | 5.80 | 5.40 | 89.7% |
| Marathonbet | — | 6.45 best price | — | — |
| BEST PRICE | 1.39 | 6.45 | 8.00 | 100.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.32–1.39 · 5.3% | 5.00–6.45 · 29.0% | 5.40–8.00 · 48.1% | 89.7–97.4% |
How did the Real Madrid – Villarreal odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Real Madrid drifted from 1.28 when odds opened on 21 Sep to 1.39 at kick-off, a 8.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | REAL MADRID | DRAW | VILLARREAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 21 Sep (open) | 1.28 | 6.80 | 8.60 |
| Thu 1 Oct | 1.32 | 6.50 | 8.50 |
| Sat 10 Oct (kick-off) | 1.39 | 6.45 | 8.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 60.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More La Liga odds
- Athletic Club – EspanyolFri 20 Nov · 21:00
- Deportivo Alavés – Deportivo La CoruñaSat 21 Nov · 14:00
- Rayo Vallecano – ValenciaSat 21 Nov · 16:15
- Sevilla – Real BetisSat 21 Nov · 18:30
- Real Madrid – Celta VigoSat 21 Nov · 21:00
- Barcelona – VillarrealSun 22 Nov · 14:00
- Racing Santander – Real SociedadSun 22 Nov · 16:15
- Osasuna – MálagaSun 22 Nov · 18:30
- Getafe – Atlético MadridSun 22 Nov · 21:00
- Levante – ElcheMon 23 Nov · 21:00
- La Liga odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.